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Taça de Portugal

Sertanense

S S T

0–2

Full-time

Amarante

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sertanense Amarante

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/1 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,0

Scored

1,7

0,0

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rebordosa	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+13	3
3	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
4	Amora	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Vilar de Perdizes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Valadares Gaia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Florgrade	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Quarteirense SAD	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Montalegre	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Ribeirão	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Alqueidão da Serra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Lusitânia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Tocha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Fabril Barreiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	União Micaelense	2	1	0	1	-3	3
45	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Sanjoanense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Os Limianos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Paredes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Pêro Pinheiro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Peniche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
57	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
89	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
90	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
91	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
92	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
93	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
94	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+13	3
2	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
3	Amora	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Vilar de Perdizes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Valadares Gaia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Florgrade	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Alqueidão da Serra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Lusitânia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	União Micaelense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
22	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Os Limianos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Pêro Pinheiro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Peniche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
28	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Tocha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
46	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
47	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Tocha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Quarteirense SAD	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Montalegre	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Ribeirão	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Fabril Barreiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Sanjoanense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Paredes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	União Micaelense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
49	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
50	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
51	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.