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Taça de Portugal

Academica

T U T U S

3–2

Full-time

Oliveira Hospital

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Academica Oliveira Hospital

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 39%

17%

60%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Taça de Portugal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

3,0

5,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+5,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Academica 24. · Oliveira Hospital 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Rebordosa	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sintrense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	FC Serpa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+13	4
7	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	1	0	+7	4
8	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+4	4
9	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
10	Montalegre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Pêro Pinheiro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+12	3
14	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
15	Amora	2	1	0	1	+7	3
16	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+5	3
17	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+5	3
19	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+5	3
20	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
21	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Vilar de Perdizes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Mirandela	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Quarteirense SAD	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Lusitânia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Santa Maria FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Tocha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Sandinenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
54	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
55	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Fabril Barreiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	Ribeirão	2	1	0	1	-1	3
58	Florgrade	2	1	0	1	-2	3
59	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
60	União Micaelense	2	1	0	1	-3	3
61	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
62	Pombal	2	1	0	1	-3	3
63	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
64	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Os Limianos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Atlético CP	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Sanjoanense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
78	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
79	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
113	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
114	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
119	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
120	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
121	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
122	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
123	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
124	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
125	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0
126	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+13	3
4	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
5	Amora	1	1	0	0	+8	3
6	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Vilar de Perdizes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Florgrade	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Lusitânia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	União Micaelense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
28	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
29	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Os Limianos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Pêro Pinheiro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Atlético CP	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
37	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Quarteirense SAD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Tocha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Sandinenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Ribeirão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
65	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
66	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
69	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Montalegre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+12	3
5	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Mirandela	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Tocha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Quarteirense SAD	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Ribeirão	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Pêro Pinheiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Santa Maria FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Fabril Barreiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
39	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Sanjoanense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Paredes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	União Micaelense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
73	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
74	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
75	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.