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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Aberdeen
U T T T T
4–0
Full-time
Ross County
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
0%
40%
Points per game
0,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
40%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 11. · Ross County 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 6 5 1 0 +11 16
2 St Mirren 6 4 2 0 +4 14
3 Motherwell 5 3 1 1 +2 10
4 Rangers 5 3 0 2 +6 9
5 Hibernian 6 2 1 3 +1 7
6 Hearts 6 2 1 3 +1 7
7 Ross County 5 2 1 2 -1 7
8 Kilmarnock 6 1 3 2 -1 6
9 Dundee 6 1 3 2 -3 6
10 Livingston 6 1 3 2 -6 6
11 Aberdeen 5 0 2 3 -6 2
12 ST Johnstone 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen Ross County
J. Hayes 🔁
↦ J. McGarry
6′
16′
🟨 James Brown
1–0 B. Miovski
R. Jensen
21′
38′
🟨 Yan Dhanda
2–0 Duk
G. Shinnie
42′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 J. McGrath
B. Miovski
47′
4–0 B. Miovski
Duk
52′
J. MacKenzie 🔁
↦ J. Hayes
54′
L. Clarkson 🔁
↦ J. McGrath
54′
54′
🔁 V. Loturi
↦ K. Turner
54′
🔁 J. Sims
↦ Y. Dhanda
60′
🟨 Ryan Leak
60′
🔁 E. Brophy
↦ S. Murray
68′
🟨 William Nightingale
E. Sokler 🔁
↦ B. Miovski
72′
P. Guèye 🔁
↦ Duk
72′
74′
🔁 A. Samuel
↦ J. White
74′
🔁 G. Harmon
↦ J. Reid
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-4-1-2
24 K. Roos G
6 S. Gartenmann D
33 S. Rubežić D
5 R. Jensen D
2 N. Devlin M
8 C. Barron M
4 G. Shinnie M
15 J. McGarry M
7 J. McGrath F
9 B. Miovski F
11 Duk F
Bench (9)
17 J. Hayes
3 J. MacKenzie
10 L. Clarkson
19 E. Sokler
14 P. Guèye
27 A. MacDonald
21 D. Polvara
31 R. Doohan
23 R. Duncan

Coach: B. Robson

Ross County

3-4-1-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
35 W. Nightingale D
5 J. Baldwin D
42 R. Leak D
4 J. Brown M
2 C. Randall M
7 K. Turner M
43 J. Reid M
10 Y. Dhanda F
26 J. White F
15 S. Murray F
Bench (9)
14 V. Loturi
11 J. Sims
27 E. Brophy
25 A. Samuel
16 G. Harmon
3 B. Purrington
18 S. High
17 J. Henderson
21 R. Munro

Coach: M. Mackay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,95
U
3,48
B
3,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,87
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.