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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Young Boys

U U S S T

4–1

Full-time

Lugano

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

60%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 60%

80%

40%

Average goals

3,4

3,8

Scored

2,2

2,4

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

56% Possession 44%

11 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Young Boys 3. · Lugano 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	7	3	4	0	+8	+0.9	13
2	St. Gallen	7	3	3	1	+2	+2.4	12
3	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+5	+0.7	11
4	Luzern	6	3	2	1	+2	+1.1	11
5	Winterthur	7	3	2	2	+0	-0.4	11
6	Yverdon	7	3	2	2	-2	-2.6	11
7	Lugano	5	3	0	2	+5	+2.2	9
8	Servette	6	1	3	2	-2	-2.3	6
9	Grasshoppers	7	1	2	4	-4	-1.5	5
10	Lausanne	7	1	2	4	-5	+0.5	5
11	Basel	6	1	1	4	-2	-0.4	4
12	Lausanne Ouchy	6	1	1	4	-7	-0.6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	3	3	0	0	+3	+0.7	9
2	Winterthur	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.4	8
3	Zurich	3	2	1	0	+5	–	7
4	Yverdon	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.3	7
5	Luzern	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.8	7
6	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.4	6
7	Young Boys	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.1	6
8	Basel	3	1	1	1	+2	+0.1	4
9	Grasshoppers	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.9	4
10	Lausanne Ouchy	4	1	1	2	-5	+0.0	4
11	Servette	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.6	2
12	Lausanne	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	4	1	3	0	+3	+0.9	6
2	Young Boys	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.4	5
3	Luzern	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.3	4
4	Servette	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.6	4
5	Yverdon	4	1	1	2	-6	-2.9	4
6	Lugano	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.2	3
7	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.6	3
8	St. Gallen	4	0	3	1	-1	+1.7	3
9	Winterthur	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.8	3
10	Grasshoppers	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.6	1
11	Lausanne Ouchy	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.6	0
12	Basel	3	0	0	3	-4	-0.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.