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La Liga
Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias
Betis
U T S T T
1–1
Full-time
Cadiz
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,86 xG 0,22
63% Possession 37%
21 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 8
1 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 13. · Cadiz 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 6 5 1 0 +10 +7.3 16
2 Girona 6 5 1 0 +9 +3.3 16
3 Real Madrid 5 5 0 0 +7 +4.1 15
4 Ath Bilbao 6 4 1 1 +7 +5.6 13
5 Valencia 6 3 1 2 +3 +0.5 10
6 Vallecano 6 3 1 2 -2 +0.6 10
7 Sociedad 6 2 3 1 +2 +1.2 9
8 Ath Madrid 4 2 1 1 +6 +2.9 7
9 Osasuna 6 2 1 3 -1 -0.7 7
10 Villarreal 6 2 1 3 -2 -1.7 7
11 Cadiz 5 2 1 2 -2 -1.4 7
12 Getafe 6 2 1 3 -3 -3.6 7
13 Betis 5 2 1 2 -5 -3.9 7
14 Alaves 6 2 0 4 -4 -2.7 6
15 Mallorca 6 1 2 3 -3 -1.9 5
16 Sevilla 5 1 1 3 -2 -1.5 4
17 Celta 6 1 1 4 -4 -0.6 4
18 Granada 5 1 0 4 -7 -6.3 3
19 Las Palmas 5 0 2 3 -3 -2.5 2
20 Almeria 6 0 2 4 -6 +1.3 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Cadiz
38′
🟨 Iván Alejo
41′
Chris Ramos 0–1
Juan Miranda 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 🔁
↦ Willian José
46′
57′
🟨 Rubén Alcaraz
1–1 Guido Rodríguez
60′
Andrés Guardado 🔁
↦ Marc Roca
61′
Luiz Henrique 🔁
↦ Rodri Sánchez
61′
Abner Vinícius 🔁
↦ Juan Miranda
61′
68′
🔁 Roger Martí
↦ Maximiliano Gómez
68′
🔁 Rubén Sobrino
↦ Robert Navarro
72′
🔁 Darwin Machís
↦ Iván Alejo
Aitor Ruibal 🔁
↦ Héctor Bellerín
87′
88′
🔁 Rominigue Kouamé
↦ Gonzalo Escalante
88′
🔁 Luis Hernández
↦ Jorge Meré
Isco 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 Rubén Sobrino
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 Claudio Bravo G
2 Héctor Bellerín D
6 Germán Pezzella D
15 Marc Bartra D
3 Juan Miranda D
5 Guido Rodríguez M
21 Marc Roca M
17 Rodri Sánchez M
22 Isco M
10 Ayoze Pérez M
12 Willian José F
Bench (11)
7 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
20 Abner Vinícius
11 Luiz Henrique
18 Andrés Guardado
24 Aitor Ruibal
30 Francisco Vieites
31 Guilherme Fernandes
28 Chadi Riad
27 Sergi Altimira
16 Juan Cruz
9 Borja Iglesias

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 Jeremías Ledesma G
20 Iza Carcelén D
22 Jorge Meré D
3 Fali D
15 Javier Hernández D
11 Iván Alejo M
17 Gonzalo Escalante M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
27 Robert Navarro M
25 Maximiliano Gómez F
16 Chris Ramos F
Bench (12)
7 Rubén Sobrino
21 Roger Martí
18 Darwin Machís
23 Luis Hernández
12 Rominigue Kouamé
13 David Gil
2 Joseba Zaldúa
33 Lucas Pires
5 Víctor Chust
8 Álex Fernández
19 Sergi Guardiola
9 Álvaro Negredo

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,85
U ✓
3,56
B
4,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.