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Championship

Referee: S Martin

Sunderland

S U S S S

0–1

Full-time

Cardiff

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Cardiff

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

57%

43%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 86%

86%

Both score Ø 79%

71%

86%

Average goals

3,1

3,6

Scored

2,1

1,9

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,19 xG 1,67

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sunderland 5. · Cardiff 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leicester	8	7	0	1	+9	+6.9	21
2	Ipswich	8	7	0	1	+7	+5.5	21
3	Preston	8	6	2	0	+7	+0.6	20
4	Hull	8	4	3	1	+5	-2.1	15
5	Sunderland	7	4	1	2	+8	+3.9	13
6	Leeds	8	3	4	1	+6	+4.7	13
7	Norwich	8	4	1	3	+1	+1.8	13
8	Bristol City	8	3	3	2	+2	+2.4	12
9	Birmingham	8	3	3	2	+1	+4.5	12
10	Millwall	8	3	2	3	-1	-5.0	11
11	Plymouth	8	3	1	4	+3	-1.9	10
12	Cardiff	7	3	1	3	+1	+1.5	10
13	West Brom	8	2	4	2	+1	-3.6	10
14	Blackburn	8	3	1	4	-4	-0.3	10
15	Southampton	8	3	1	4	-7	-2.1	10
16	Watford	8	2	3	3	+1	+0.2	9
17	Huddersfield	7	2	2	3	-4	-3.2	8
18	QPR	8	2	2	4	-5	-5.4	8
19	Coventry	7	1	4	2	+1	+0.9	7
20	Stoke	8	2	1	5	-4	+2.2	7
21	Swansea	8	1	3	4	-2	-0.1	6
22	Middlesbrough	8	1	2	5	-8	+3.8	5
23	Rotherham	8	1	2	5	-9	-9.9	5
24	Sheffield Weds	8	0	2	6	-9	-5.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Preston	4	4	0	0	+4	-1.1	12
2	Plymouth	4	3	0	1	+8	+0.3	9
3	Ipswich	4	3	0	1	+3	+5.1	9
4	Cardiff	4	3	0	1	+3	+2.5	9
5	Norwich	4	3	0	1	+2	+2.4	9
6	Leicester	4	3	0	1	+2	+2.2	9
7	Watford	5	2	2	1	+5	+3.5	8
8	Birmingham	4	2	2	0	+2	+3.5	8
9	West Brom	4	2	1	1	+2	-1.0	7
10	Sunderland	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.4	6
11	Leeds	4	1	3	0	+3	+4.1	6
12	Hull	4	1	3	0	+2	-0.2	6
13	Stoke	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.1	6
14	Millwall	4	2	0	2	+0	-2.2	6
15	Blackburn	4	2	0	2	-1	+0.6	6
16	Coventry	3	1	2	0	+3	+1.1	5
17	Swansea	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.8	5
18	Bristol City	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.8	5
19	Rotherham	4	1	2	1	+0	-5.1	5
20	Middlesbrough	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.6	4
21	Southampton	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.9	4
22	Huddersfield	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.1	4
23	Sheffield Weds	4	0	1	3	-3	-1.3	1
24	QPR	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leicester	4	4	0	0	+7	+4.7	12
2	Ipswich	4	4	0	0	+4	+0.4	12
3	Hull	4	3	0	1	+3	-1.9	9
4	Preston	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.7	8
5	Leeds	4	2	1	1	+3	+0.6	7
6	Sunderland	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.5	7
7	Bristol City	4	2	1	1	+1	+1.6	7
8	QPR	5	2	1	2	-2	-3.7	7
9	Southampton	4	2	0	2	-4	-1.1	6
10	Millwall	4	1	2	1	-1	-2.7	5
11	Norwich	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.5	4
12	Birmingham	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.0	4
13	Huddersfield	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.1	4
14	Blackburn	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.9	4
15	West Brom	4	0	3	1	-1	-2.6	3
16	Coventry	4	0	2	2	-2	-0.2	2
17	Cardiff	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.9	1
18	Swansea	4	0	1	3	-4	-0.9	1
19	Watford	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.2	1
20	Stoke	4	0	1	3	-4	+1.1	1
21	Plymouth	4	0	1	3	-5	-2.3	1
22	Middlesbrough	4	0	1	3	-6	+1.2	1
23	Sheffield Weds	4	0	1	3	-6	-4.0	1
24	Rotherham	4	0	0	4	-9	-4.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.