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Eliteserien

Referee: S Amland

Rosenborg

T S U T T

1–2

Full-time

Lillestrom

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

This season — Eliteserien · 13/11 matches

Win Ø 34%

23%

45%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

46%

64%

Both score Ø 55%

46%

64%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,04 xG 3,81

44% Possession 56%

13 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rosenborg 12. · Lillestrom 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	13	10	2	1	+21	–	32
2	Viking	13	8	2	3	+9	–	26
3	Tromso	12	8	2	2	+6	–	26
4	Brann	13	7	3	3	+10	–	24
5	Sarpsborg 08	12	6	3	3	+9	–	21
6	Molde	13	6	2	5	+9	–	20
7	Lillestrom	11	5	2	4	+1	–	17
8	Stromsgodset	12	5	2	5	+0	–	17
9	Odd	13	4	4	5	-3	–	16
10	Stabaek	12	4	3	5	-5	–	15
11	Haugesund	13	4	3	6	-7	–	15
12	Rosenborg	13	3	4	6	-5	–	13
13	Valerenga	11	3	1	7	-4	–	10
14	Ham-Kam	13	3	1	9	-17	+0.6	10
15	Sandefjord	11	2	3	6	-8	–	9
16	Aalesund	13	2	1	10	-16	-0.6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	5	2	0	+14	–	17
2	Brann	7	5	2	0	+11	–	17
3	Viking	7	5	1	1	+10	–	16
4	Molde	6	4	1	1	+9	–	13
5	Stabaek	7	3	3	1	+4	–	12
6	Haugesund	6	3	2	1	+2	–	11
7	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	1	2	+4	–	10
8	Tromso	6	3	1	2	+1	–	10
9	Rosenborg	7	3	1	3	-1	–	10
10	Ham-Kam	7	3	1	3	-1	+0.6	10
11	Stromsgodset	5	3	0	2	+2	–	9
12	Lillestrom	6	3	0	3	+1	–	9
13	Odd	5	2	2	1	+2	–	8
14	Sandefjord	4	2	1	1	+6	–	7
15	Aalesund	7	2	1	4	-4	–	7
16	Valerenga	6	1	0	5	-4	–	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	6	5	1	0	+5	–	16
2	Bodo/Glimt	6	5	0	1	+7	–	15
3	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	2	1	+5	–	11
4	Viking	6	3	1	2	-1	–	10
5	Lillestrom	5	2	2	1	+0	–	8
6	Stromsgodset	7	2	2	3	-2	–	8
7	Odd	8	2	2	4	-5	–	8
8	Molde	7	2	1	4	+0	–	7
9	Valerenga	5	2	1	2	+0	–	7
10	Brann	6	2	1	3	-1	–	7
11	Haugesund	7	1	1	5	-9	–	4
12	Rosenborg	6	0	3	3	-4	–	3
13	Stabaek	5	1	0	4	-9	–	3
14	Sandefjord	7	0	2	5	-14	–	2
15	Aalesund	6	0	0	6	-12	-0.6	0
16	Ham-Kam	6	0	0	6	-16	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.