Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Recreativa de Lamelas
Tirsense
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rebordosa
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 |
Alverca
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 3 |
| 3 |
Lusitânia Lourosa
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 3 |
| 4 |
Amora
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 3 |
| 5 |
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 |
| 6 |
União Santarém
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 3 |
| 7 |
Oliveira Hospital
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 8 |
Vilaverdense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 9 |
Moncarapachense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 10 |
Vilar de Perdizes
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 11 |
Valadares Gaia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 12 |
Academica
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 13 |
Juventude Évora
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 14 |
Vila Meã
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 16 |
Sandinenses
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 17 |
Maritimo
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Florgrade
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 |
Vianense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 20 |
Salgueiros
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 21 |
Sintrense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 22 |
Lusitano Évora 1911
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 23 |
Quarteirense SAD
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 24 |
Montalegre
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 25 |
Fontinhas
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 26 |
Ribeirão
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 27 |
Pombal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 28 |
Rabo Peixe
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 29 |
Alqueidão da Serra
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 30 |
Felgueiras 1932
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 31 |
Academico Viseu
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 32 |
CD Olivais e Moscavide
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 33 |
FC Serpa
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 34 |
Lusitânia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 35 |
Torreense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 36 |
Leixoes
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 37 |
Pevidem
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 38 |
AVS
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 39 |
O Elvas
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 40 |
Tocha
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 41 |
Louletano
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 42 |
Fabril Barreiro
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 43 |
Castrense
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 44 |
União Micaelense
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 45 |
Anadia
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 46 |
Sanjoanense
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 47 |
Os Limianos
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 48 |
Varzim
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 49 |
União Lamas
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 50 |
Paredes
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 51 |
Pêro Pinheiro
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 52 |
Caldas
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 53 |
Peniche
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 54 |
Marinhense
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 55 |
Gondomar
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 56 |
Portosantense
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 57 |
CF Oliveira Douro
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 58 |
CD Torres Novas
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 59 |
Lobão
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 60 |
Fafe
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 61 |
Real
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 62 |
Padernense
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 63 |
Os Marialvas
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 64 |
Oriental Lisboa
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 65 |
São João Ver
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 66 |
Penedo Gordo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 67 |
Trofense
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 68 |
Guadalupe
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 69 |
Imortal Albufeira
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 70 |
Alcochetense
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 71 |
Lanheses
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 72 |
Rebordelo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 73 |
Beira-Mar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 74 |
Aliados Lordelo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 75 |
Foz
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 76 |
Lusitano FCV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 77 |
Operário
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 78 |
Comércio Indústria
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 79 |
Atlético Reguengos
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 80 |
Mondinense
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 81 |
Flamengos
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 82 |
Vila Real
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 83 |
Os Vilanovenses
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 84 |
União de Coimbra
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 85 |
Portel
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 86 |
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 87 |
Torre de Moncorvo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 88 |
AD Fornos Algodres
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 89 |
Ponte
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 90 |
Proença-a-Nova
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 91 |
Amiense
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
| 92 |
Vitória do Pico
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
| 93 |
Régua
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10 | 0 |
| 94 |
Gavionenses
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -13 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.