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Eliteserien

Referee: S Kringstad

Stromsgodset

T T T T S

1–2

Full-time

Lillestrom

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

4,2

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 45%

39%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

33%

72%

Both score Ø 58%

44%

72%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,9

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,88 xG 2,18

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 6

4 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 10. · Lillestrom 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	14	2	3	+26	+8.8	44
2	Viking	19	14	2	3	+18	+3.7	44
3	Tromso	18	12	3	3	+12	+1.9	39
4	Molde	19	10	4	5	+20	+8.5	34
5	Brann	19	10	3	6	+11	-0.4	33
6	Lillestrom	18	9	2	7	+5	+4.2	29
7	Sarpsborg 08	19	8	3	8	+0	+1.2	27
8	Odd	19	7	4	8	-1	+0.5	25
9	Rosenborg	19	7	4	8	-5	+1.3	25
10	Stromsgodset	18	7	2	9	-1	-3.9	23
11	Ham-Kam	19	7	1	11	-14	-6.3	22
12	Haugesund	19	5	4	10	-11	-4.7	19
13	Sandefjord	18	4	5	9	-9	-10.3	17
14	Valerenga	18	4	4	10	-8	-2.6	16
15	Stabaek	18	4	4	10	-13	-0.2	16
16	Aalesund	19	3	1	15	-30	-1.7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	10	8	1	1	+14	+1.5	25
2	Brann	10	7	2	1	+14	+1.9	23
3	Molde	9	6	2	1	+15	+4.9	20
4	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	2	1	+13	+2.4	20
5	Tromso	10	6	2	2	+6	+3.6	20
6	Lillestrom	10	6	0	4	+7	+3.3	18
7	Ham-Kam	10	5	1	4	+1	-3.5	16
8	Rosenborg	10	5	1	4	+0	+1.2	16
9	Odd	9	4	2	3	+2	+1.7	14
10	Haugesund	9	4	2	3	+0	-2.8	14
11	Sarpsborg 08	9	4	1	4	+3	-0.5	13
12	Sandefjord	8	3	3	2	+7	-5.4	12
13	Stromsgodset	8	4	0	4	+2	-1.1	12
14	Stabaek	9	3	3	3	+2	-1.1	12
15	Aalesund	10	3	1	6	-8	+2.5	10
16	Valerenga	9	1	1	7	-9	+0.2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	8	0	2	+13	+6.4	24
2	Tromso	8	6	1	1	+6	-1.7	19
3	Viking	9	6	1	2	+4	+2.1	19
4	Molde	10	4	2	4	+5	+3.6	14
5	Sarpsborg 08	10	4	2	4	-3	+1.7	14
6	Valerenga	9	3	3	3	+1	-2.8	12
7	Lillestrom	8	3	2	3	-2	+0.9	11
8	Stromsgodset	10	3	2	5	-3	-2.7	11
9	Odd	10	3	2	5	-3	-1.2	11
10	Brann	9	3	1	5	-3	-2.3	10
11	Rosenborg	9	2	3	4	-5	+0.1	9
12	Ham-Kam	9	2	0	7	-15	-2.8	6
13	Haugesund	10	1	2	7	-11	-1.9	5
14	Sandefjord	10	1	2	7	-16	-5.0	5
15	Stabaek	9	1	1	7	-15	+0.9	4
16	Aalesund	9	0	0	9	-22	-4.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.