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Eliteserien

Referee: S Amland

Tromso

S U T S S

3–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 60%

63%

56%

Points per game

2,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

50%

69%

Both score Ø 63%

56%

69%

Average goals

2,3

3,4

Scored

1,4

2,0

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,10 xG 0,54

52% Possession 48%

19 Shots 2

9 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tromso 3. · Lillestrom 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	17	13	2	2	+25	+6.1	41
2	Viking	16	11	2	3	+14	+1.9	35
3	Tromso	16	10	3	3	+9	-0.2	33
4	Molde	17	10	2	5	+20	+7.9	32
5	Lillestrom	16	9	2	5	+9	+7.2	29
6	Brann	17	8	3	6	+5	-4.1	27
7	Sarpsborg 08	16	7	3	6	+2	-0.7	24
8	Odd	17	6	4	7	-2	-0.3	22
9	Rosenborg	17	6	4	7	-3	+1.2	22
10	Stromsgodset	17	6	2	9	-2	-3.9	20
11	Haugesund	16	5	3	8	-8	-2.0	18
12	Stabaek	16	4	4	8	-8	+2.8	16
13	Ham-Kam	16	5	1	10	-17	-4.3	16
14	Valerenga	16	4	2	10	-8	-2.7	14
15	Sandefjord	15	3	4	8	-12	-8.9	13
16	Aalesund	17	3	1	13	-24	-0.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	2	1	+13	+2.4	20
2	Brann	9	6	2	1	+10	-0.5	20
3	Molde	8	6	1	1	+15	+4.5	19
4	Viking	8	6	1	1	+12	+1.1	19
5	Lillestrom	9	6	0	3	+9	+4.7	18
6	Rosenborg	10	5	1	4	+0	+1.2	16
7	Haugesund	7	4	2	1	+3	-0.7	14
8	Tromso	8	4	2	2	+3	+1.6	14
9	Sarpsborg 08	8	4	1	3	+4	-0.4	13
10	Ham-Kam	8	4	1	3	+0	-2.3	13
11	Stromsgodset	8	4	0	4	+2	-1.1	12
12	Stabaek	9	3	3	3	+2	-1.1	12
13	Odd	7	3	2	2	+1	+0.9	11
14	Aalesund	9	3	1	5	-6	+1.7	10
15	Sandefjord	6	2	2	2	+3	-4.4	8
16	Valerenga	8	1	0	7	-9	-0.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	7	0	1	+12	+3.7	21
2	Tromso	8	6	1	1	+6	-1.7	19
3	Viking	8	5	1	2	+2	+0.8	16
4	Molde	9	4	1	4	+5	+3.4	13
5	Valerenga	8	3	2	3	+1	-2.3	11
6	Lillestrom	7	3	2	2	+0	+2.5	11
7	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	2	3	-2	-0.3	11
8	Odd	10	3	2	5	-3	-1.2	11
9	Stromsgodset	9	2	2	5	-4	-2.8	8
10	Brann	8	2	1	5	-5	-3.6	7
11	Rosenborg	7	1	3	3	-3	+0.0	6
12	Sandefjord	9	1	2	6	-15	-4.5	5
13	Stabaek	7	1	1	5	-10	+3.9	4
14	Haugesund	9	1	1	7	-11	-1.3	4
15	Ham-Kam	8	1	0	7	-17	-2.0	3
16	Aalesund	8	0	0	8	-18	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.