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Pro League

Referee: B Verbeke

St Truiden

T S U U S

2–1

Full-time

RAAL La Louviere

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden RAAL La Louviere

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,8

0,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,3

Scored

1,5

0,3

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,69 xG 1,26

61% Possession 39%

13 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 5

4 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 4. · RAAL La Louviere 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	4	3	0	1	+6	+5.5	9
2	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.9	9
3	St. Gilloise	3	2	1	0	+8	+7.1	7
4	St Truiden	2	1	1	0	+2	+3.4	4
5	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.3	4
6	Standard	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.3	4
7	Waregem	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.7	4
8	Westerlo	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.8	3
9	RAAL La Louviere	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.3	3
10	Charleroi	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
11	Dender	3	0	1	2	-4	-4.1	1
12	Cercle Brugge	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.4	6
2	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.0	6
3	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+2	+3.0	3
4	St Truiden	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
5	Westerlo	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
6	RAAL La Louviere	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.1	3
7	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
8	Charleroi	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
9	Waregem	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
10	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
11	Dender	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.5	6
2	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.3	4
3	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
4	Waregem	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
5	Standard	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
6	St Truiden	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
7	St. Gilloise	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
8	Dender	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.8	1
9	RAAL La Louviere	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
10	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
11	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0
12	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.