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La Liga

Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer

Real Madrid

T S S S S

4–1

Full-time

Sociedad

U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,14 xG 0,57

51% Possession 49%

20 Shots 10

11 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 7. · Sociedad 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.5	6
2	Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.5	6
3	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.3	4
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
5	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+5	+3.7	3
6	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
7	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
8	Getafe	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.8	3
9	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.6	2
10	La Coruna	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.7	2
11	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Osasuna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
13	Vallecano	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
14	Santander	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.3	1
15	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.3	1
16	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.1	1
17	Levante	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.7	1
18	Elche	2	0	1	1	-5	-2.8	1
19	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
20	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
2	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
3	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
4	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
5	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
6	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
8	Vallecano	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
9	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
10	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.8	1
11	Osasuna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
12	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.3	1
13	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
14	Elche	1	0	0	1	-5	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+5	+3.7	3
2	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
3	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
4	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
5	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.6	2
6	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
7	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
8	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
9	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
10	Levante	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.7	1
11	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
12	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
13	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
14	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
15	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.