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La Liga

Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura

Sociedad

T U T T S

0–0

Full-time

Celta

U S U T T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

16 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sociedad 13. · Celta 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	+9.4	9
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+8	+6.1	9
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	-2.0	7
4	Alaves	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.7	7
5	Osasuna	3	2	1	0	+2	+2.9	7
6	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.6	6
7	Betis	3	2	0	1	-1	-1.4	6
8	La Coruna	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.7	5
9	Levante	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.2	4
10	Santander	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.0	4
11	Espanol	3	1	0	2	+1	-1.4	3
12	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.1	3
13	Sociedad	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.4	3
14	Getafe	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.8	3
15	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.2	2
16	Celta	3	0	1	2	-3	-4.4	1
17	Valencia	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.3	1
18	Vallecano	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.6	1
19	Elche	3	0	1	2	-6	-3.5	1
20	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+7	+4.5	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.7	6
3	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.1	6
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
5	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
6	Santander	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
7	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
8	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
9	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
10	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
11	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
12	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
13	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	3
14	Vallecano	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
15	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.8	1
16	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.3	1
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
18	Celta	2	0	0	2	-3	-4.5	0
19	Elche	1	0	0	1	-5	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+5	+3.7	3
2	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
3	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.0	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
6	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
7	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.2	3
8	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.2	2
9	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
10	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
11	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
13	Levante	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.7	1
14	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
15	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
16	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.0	0
17	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0
18	Sociedad	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.4	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.7	0
20	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Jan -26 Sociedad – Celta 3–1 19. Oct -25 Celta – Sociedad 1–1 13. May -25 Sociedad – Celta 0–1 21. Dec -24 Celta – Sociedad 2–0 23. Jan -24 Celta – Sociedad 1–2

Match report

Sociedad Celta

Yangel Herrera 🟨

22′

Half-time 0–0

52′

🟨 Yoel Lago

57′

🟨 Marcos Alonso

Jon Gorrotxategi 🔁

↦ Yangel Herrera

61′

Luka Sučić 🔁

↦ Takefusa Kubo

61′

63′

🔁 Pablo Durán Fernández

↦ Andrés Antañón Vieites

63′

🔁 Iago Aspas

↦ Williot Swedberg

69′

🔁 Couhaib Driouech

↦ Ferran Jutglà

Gonçalo Guedes 🔁

↦ Orri Steinn Óskarsson

71′

Alex Marchal García 🔁

↦ Ander Barrenetxea

71′

79′

🟨 Couhaib Driouech

Luka Sučić 🟨

81′

Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-2-3-1

Álex Remiro G

J. Aramburu D

Zubeldia D

Jon Martín D

Sergio Gómez D

Y. Herrera M

Beñat Turrientes M

T. Kubo M

Mikel Oyarzabal M

Barrenetxea M

O. Óskarsson F

Bench (12)

19 M. Sarr

18 Carlos Soler

12 J. Ochieng

24 L. Sučić

23 A. Zakharyan

3 Aihen Muñoz

34 Luken Beitia

22 Héctor Fort

4 Jon Gorrotxategi

11 Gonçalo Guedes

29 Alex Garcia

13 Unai Marrero

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Celta

3-4-3

I. Radu G

Álvaro Núñez D

Yoel Lago D

Marcos Alonso D

Javi Rueda M

Miguel Román M

I. Moriba M

Sergio Carreira M

Andrés Antañón F

Ferran Jutglà F

W. Swedberg F

Bench (12)

2 C. Starfelt

1 A. Bayındır

4 A. Faye

20 Javi Rodríguez

22 Javi Galán

16 Hugo González

30 H. Burcio

23 Hugo Álvarez

24 C. Driouech

39 J. El Abdellaoui

10 Iago Aspas

11 Pablo Durán

Coach: Claudio Giráldez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

1,95

🔒

Superbet 1,97 1xBet 1,93 SBO 1,92 Marathonbet 1,90 Betano 1,87 Betfair 1,87 Pinnacle 1,87 Unibet 1,86 William Hill 1,85 10Bet 1,84 Bet365 1,83 BetVictor 1,83

U ✓

3,48

🔒

1xBet 3,80 Bet365 3,80 Pinnacle 3,78 Marathonbet 3,74 BetVictor 3,70 Betano 3,65 10Bet 3,60 Unibet 3,60 Betfair 3,60 Superbet 3,60 William Hill 3,50 SBO 3,17

3,69

🔒

Pinnacle 4,34 Betfair 4,33 1xBet 4,26 Bet365 4,20 BetVictor 4,20 Marathonbet 4,20 Betano 4,15 Unibet 4,10 10Bet 4,00 William Hill 4,00 Superbet 3,90 SBO 3,41

Over/under goals

O1,5

1,28

🔒