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La Liga
Referee: Isidro Díaz de Mera
Sociedad
T U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 32%
25%
38%
Average goals
1,6
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
0,9
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,00 xG 0,54
67% Possession 33%
16 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 16. · Ath Madrid 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 9 8 0 1 +19 +11.2 24
2 Real Madrid 9 6 3 0 +13 +10.1 21
3 Villarreal 9 5 2 2 +0 +3.2 17
4 Ath Madrid 8 4 4 0 +8 +5.6 16
5 Osasuna 9 4 3 2 -1 -1.8 15
6 Ath Bilbao 9 4 2 3 +3 +0.8 14
7 Mallorca 9 4 2 3 +1 +2.4 14
8 Vallecano 9 3 4 2 +2 -1.1 13
9 Celta 9 4 1 4 +1 +1.2 13
10 Betis 9 3 3 3 +0 +5.5 12
11 Girona 9 3 3 3 -1 +3.5 12
12 Sevilla 9 3 3 3 -1 +1.3 12
13 Alaves 9 3 1 5 -4 -1.3 10
14 Espanol 9 3 1 5 -4 -9.5 10
15 Getafe 9 1 5 3 -1 +0.5 8
16 Sociedad 8 2 2 4 -1 -0.7 8
17 Leganes 9 1 5 3 -4 -5.3 8
18 Valencia 9 1 3 5 -8 -8.6 6
19 Valladolid 9 1 2 6 -14 -7.9 5
20 Las Palmas 9 0 3 6 -8 -9.0 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Ath Madrid
1′
J. Alvarez 0–1
A. Griezmann
Half-time 0–1
Brais Méndez 🔁
↦ Javi López
46′
55′
🟨 Clément Lenglet
Barrenetxea 🔁
↦ S. Becker
61′
64′
🔁 R. De Paul
↦ C. Gallagher
74′
🔁 A. Sørloth
↦ J. Alvarez
80′
🟨 Javi Galán
83′
🔁 Rodrigo Riquelme
↦ A. Griezmann
83′
🔁 Reinildo
↦ Javi Galán
1–1 L. Sučić
Mikel Oyarzabal
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-1-4-1
1 Álex Remiro G
27 J. Aramburu D
5 Zubeldia D
21 N. Aguerd D
12 Javi López D
4 Martín Zubimendi M
14 T. Kubo M
24 L. Sučić M
17 Sergio Gómez M
11 S. Becker M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
Bench (12)
23 Brais Méndez
7 Barrenetxea
2 Odriozola
20 Jon Pacheco
25 Jon Magunazelaia
19 U. Sadiq
13 Unai Marrero
9 O. Óskarsson
31 Jon Martín
16 Jon Olasagasti
3 Aihen Muñoz
28 Pablo Marín

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Ath Madrid

5-4-1
13 J. Oblak G
16 N. Molina D
20 A. Witsel D
2 J. Giménez D
15 C. Lenglet D
21 Javi Galán D
8 Pablo Barrios M
6 Koke M
4 C. Gallagher M
7 A. Griezmann M
19 J. Alvarez F
Bench (11)
5 R. De Paul
9 A. Sørloth
17 Rodrigo Riquelme
23 Reinildo
1 J. Musso
11 T. Lemar
12 Samuel Lino
22 G. Simeone
31 Antonio Gomis
27 I. Kostis
10 Á. Correa

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,31
U ✓
3,16
B
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,42
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Isidro Díaz de Mera · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.