La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Ath Madrid
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +19 | +11.2 | 24 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +13 | +10.1 | 21 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +0 | +3.2 | 17 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +8 | +5.6 | 16 |
| 5 |
Osasuna
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -1.8 | 15 |
| 6 |
Ath Bilbao
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | +0.8 | 14 |
| 7 |
Mallorca
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | +2.4 | 14 |
| 8 |
Vallecano
|
9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | -1.1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Celta
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +1 | +1.2 | 13 |
| 10 |
Betis
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +0 | +5.5 | 12 |
| 11 |
Girona
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | +3.5 | 12 |
| 12 |
Sevilla
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | +1.3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Alaves
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | -1.3 | 10 |
| 14 |
Espanol
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | -9.5 | 10 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1 | +0.5 | 8 |
| 16 |
Sociedad
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -0.7 | 8 |
| 17 |
Leganes
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -4 | -5.3 | 8 |
| 18 |
Valencia
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | -8.6 | 6 |
| 19 |
Valladolid
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -14 | -7.9 | 5 |
| 20 |
Las Palmas
|
9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -8 | -9.0 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Álex Remiro
G
J. Aramburu
D
Zubeldia
D
N. Aguerd
D
Javi López
D
Martín Zubimendi
M
T. Kubo
M
L. Sučić
M
Sergio Gómez
M
S. Becker
M
Mikel Oyarzabal
F
Coach: Imanol Alguacil
J. Oblak
G
N. Molina
D
A. Witsel
D
J. Giménez
D
C. Lenglet
D
Javi Galán
D
Pablo Barrios
M
Koke
M
C. Gallagher
M
J. Alvarez
F
Coach: D. Simeone
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
Anderlecht
Sociedad
Valencia
Nice
Sociedad
Valladolid
Sociedad
Mallorca
Sociedad
Isidro Díaz de Mera · 82 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.