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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Zwolle
U S U T T
4–3
Full-time
Vitesse
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 36%
25%
46%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
71%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 16. · Vitesse 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 23 17 2 4 +45 53
2 AZ Alkmaar 23 16 2 5 +31 50
3 Feyenoord 23 13 7 3 +13 46
4 PSV Eindhoven 24 13 6 5 +25 45
5 Willem II 25 13 5 7 +5 44
6 Utrecht 23 11 5 7 +13 38
7 Vitesse 24 11 5 8 +10 38
8 Groningen 25 10 5 10 +2 35
9 Heracles 25 9 6 10 +4 33
10 Heerenveen 24 7 9 8 +1 30
11 Sparta Rotterdam 24 8 6 10 -4 30
12 FC Emmen 24 8 5 11 -12 29
13 Twente 24 7 6 11 -10 27
14 VVV Venlo 24 8 3 13 -24 27
15 For Sittard 24 6 6 12 -23 24
16 Zwolle 24 6 4 14 -19 22
17 Den Haag 25 4 7 14 -25 19
18 Waalwijk 24 3 3 18 -32 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Vitesse
1–0 G. Hamer
D. Huiberts
6′
6′
T. Matavž 1–1
18′
🟨 Matúš Bero
27′
🔁 R. Bazoer
↦ M. Bero
33′
O. Tannane 1–2
Half-time 1–2
S. van Wermeskerken 🔁
↦ Y. Nakayama
46′
58′
🔁 P. Vroegh
↦ N. Dicko
R. Ghoochannejhad 🔁
↦ V. van Crooij
61′
2–2 K. Paal
P. Clement
74′
81′
🟨 Oussama Tannane
84′
🔁 J. Grot
↦ B. Linssen
D. Johnsen 🔁
↦ D. Huiberts
87′
3–2 R. Ghoochannejhad
90′
92′
O. Tannane 3–3
4–3 P. Clement
K. Paal
94′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
16 M. Zetterer G
2 B. van Polen D
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal D
4 Y. Nakayama D
13 R. Strieder M
22 P. Clement F
38 G. Hamer M
30 D. Huiberts M
9 M. van Duinen F
7 V. van Crooij F
Bench (10)
31 S. van Wermeskerken
8 R. Ghoochannejhad
17 D. Johnsen
10 L. Thy
1 X. Mous
40 M. Hauptmeijer
49 T. van den Belt
19 R. Dekker
23 E. Reijnen
32 J. Koorman

Coach: J. Stegeman

Vitesse

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
17 E. Dasa D
28 J. Brenet D
3 A. Obispo D
30 D. Doekhi D
21 M. Bero M
8 S. Tronstad M
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
20 N. Dicko F
14 O. Tannane M
Bench (10)
10 R. Bazoer
36 P. Vroegh
7 J. Grot
5 M. Clark
40 B. Bayazit
29 T. Buitink
32 Ö. Aktas
18 T. Hajek
2 J. Lelieveld
1 K. Lamprou

Coach: E. Sturing

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,63
U
3,64
B
2,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,33
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.