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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
Zwolle
U T U T U
0–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,2
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,8
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,0
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 24
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 11. · Sparta Rotterdam 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Den Haag 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Excelsior 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Vitesse 2 1 0 1 +2 3
6 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Roda 2 0 2 0 +0 2
8 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Heerenveen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Nijmegen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Zwolle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Heracles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Twente 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Utrecht 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Groningen 2 0 0 2 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Sparta Rotterdam
22′
🟨 Mart Dijkstra
30′
🟨 Stijn Spierings
40′
L. Brogno 0–1
S. Spierings
Half-time 0–1
Dirk Marcellis 🟨
46′
51′
🟨 Loris Brogno
52′
🟨 Florian Pinteaux
58′
C. Goodwin 0–2
S. Spierings
S. Nijland 🔁
↦ K. Ehizibue
63′
P. Sandler 🔁
↦ R. Thomas
67′
H. Mastour 🔁
↦ Y. Mokhtar
73′
77′
🔁 K. Dougall
↦ M. Dijkstra
85′
🔁 S. Floranus
↦ C. Goodwin
87′
L. Brogno 0–3
Z. El Azzouzi
90′
🔁 F. Stokkers
↦ S. Spierings
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
3 T. van de Pavert D
5 C. Verdonk D
14 W. Brama M
9 A. Achahbar F
7 Y. Mokhtar F
30 R. Thomas M
11 Q. Menig M
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (10)
10 S. Nijland
13 P. Sandler
98 H. Mastour
22 B. Schenkeveld
16 K. Begois
48 T. Evre
40 M. Hauptmeijer
29 S. van Looy
33 A. Karagounis
18 Gustavo Hebling

Coach: R. Jans

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 M. Breuer D
8 M. Dijkstra M
3 F. Pinteaux D
2 D. Dumfries D
6 R. van Drongelen D
4 R. Sanusi M
10 S. Spierings F
7 L. Brogno F
11 C. Goodwin M
9 Z. El Azzouzi F
Bench (10)
15 K. Dougall
12 S. Floranus
19 F. Stokkers
17 Iván Calero
30 R. Kieboom
20 M. Verrips
16 T. Verhaar
18 I. Alhalft
13 D. Mendes da Silva
14 B. Vriends

Coach: A. Pastoor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.