La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Espanol
Valencia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +18 | 19 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |
Ath Bilbao
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 16 |
| 4 |
Betis
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 |
Ath Madrid
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 12 |
| 7 |
Osasuna
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |
Sociedad
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 |
Valencia
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 10 |
Mallorca
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |
Girona
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +0 | 7 |
| 12 |
Vallecano
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |
Celta
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 |
Valladolid
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |
Espanol
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 |
Almeria
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 |
Cadiz
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -13 | 4 |
| 20 |
Elche
|
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -14 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Álvaro Fernández
G
Sergi Gómez
D
L. Cabrera
D
Darder
M
Vinicius Souza
M
Edu Expósito
M
Coach: Diego Martínez
G. Mamardashvili
G
Thierry Correia
D
M. Diakhaby
D
José Gayà
D
André Almeida
M
Hugo Guillamón
M
Ilaix Moriba
M
Coach: G. Gattuso
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
Espanol
Espanol
Sevilla
Ath Bilbao
Espanol
Espanol
Real Madrid
Espanol
Vallecano
Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.