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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Girona
S T U S T
3–5
Full-time
Sociedad
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

40% Possession 60%
16 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Girona 12. · Sociedad 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 7 6 1 0 +18 19
2 Real Madrid 6 6 0 0 +11 18
3 Ath Bilbao 7 5 1 1 +12 16
4 Betis 7 5 0 2 +5 15
5 Ath Madrid 7 4 1 2 +6 13
6 Villarreal 7 3 3 1 +8 12
7 Osasuna 6 4 0 2 +2 12
8 Valencia 7 3 1 3 +5 10
9 Sociedad 6 3 1 2 -1 10
10 Celta 7 3 1 3 -4 10
11 Mallorca 7 2 2 3 -2 8
12 Girona 6 2 1 3 +0 7
13 Vallecano 6 2 1 3 -1 7
14 Getafe 7 2 1 4 -7 7
15 Valladolid 7 2 1 4 -7 7
16 Espanol 7 1 2 4 -5 5
17 Sevilla 7 1 2 4 -6 5
18 Almeria 7 1 1 5 -7 4
19 Cadiz 7 1 1 5 -13 4
20 Elche 6 0 1 5 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Girona Sociedad
8′
A. Sørloth 0–1
T. Kubo
1–1 Rodrigo Riquelme
Aleix García
23′
2–1 Arnau Martínez
B. Espinosa
27′
42′
A. Sørloth 2–2
Martín Zubimendi
Half-time 3–2
3–2 V. Castellanos
Manu Vallejo
48′
Y. Herrera 🔁
↦ Manu Vallejo
54′
55′
🔁 Álex Sola
↦ Gorosabel
Oriol Romeu 🟨
57′
Miguel Gutiérrez 🟨
65′
66′
Brais Méndez 3–3
71′
Martín Zubimendi 3–4
Mikel Merino
Valery 🔁
↦ Juanpe
76′
Oscar Ureña 🔁
↦ Aleix García
79′
Yan Couto 🔁
↦ Arnau Martínez
79′
83′
🔁 Guevara
↦ Elustondo
83′
🔁 Beñat Turrientes
↦ David Silva
85′
T. Kubo 3–5
A. Sørloth
87′
🟨 Mikel Merino
88′
🔁 Carlos Fernández
↦ A. Sørloth
88′
🔁 Robert Navarro
↦ T. Kubo
Valentin Castellanos 🟨
94′
Full-time 3–5

Line-ups

Girona

5-3-2
1 Juan Carlos G
4 Arnau Martínez D
22 S. Bueno D
2 B. Espinosa D
15 Juanpe D
3 Miguel Gutiérrez D
18 Oriol Romeu M
14 Aleix García M
17 Rodrigo Riquelme M
25 Manu Vallejo F
9 V. Castellanos F
Bench (12)
21 Y. Herrera
11 Valery
32 Oscar Ureña
20 Yan Couto
7 C. Stuani
12 Toni Villa
26 Toni Fuidias
8 Ramón Terrats
16 Javi Hernández
33 Joel Roca
13 P. Gazzaniga
23 Iván Martín

Coach: Míchel

Sociedad

4-4-2
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Gorosabel D
6 Elustondo D
20 Jon Pacheco D
12 Aihen Muñoz D
23 Brais Méndez M
3 Martín Zubimendi M
8 Mikel Merino M
21 David Silva M
14 T. Kubo F
19 A. Sørloth F
Bench (11)
2 Álex Sola
16 Guevara
22 Beñat Turrientes
9 Carlos Fernández
17 Robert Navarro
30 Urko González
4 Illarramendi
15 Diego Rico
33 Jon Karrikaburu
45 Arana
13 Andoni Zubiaurre

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,26
U
3,24
B ✓
2,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,21
U2,5
1,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.