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Super League
Referee: A Papapetrou
2–0
Full-time
OFI Crete
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,5
This season — Super League · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
17%
40%
Both score Ø 47%
33%
60%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 12. · OFI Crete 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 +8 15
2 PAOK 6 3 3 0 +3 12
3 Aris Thessalonikis 5 3 1 1 +4 10
4 Aris 5 3 1 1 +4 10
5 Panetolikos 6 3 1 2 +2 10
6 AEK 5 3 0 2 +5 9
7 Atromitos 5 2 2 1 +4 8
8 Olympiakos 6 2 2 2 +2 8
9 Volos NFC 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Lamia 6 1 3 2 -3 6
11 OFI Crete 5 1 1 3 -4 4
12 Asteras Tripolis 6 0 4 2 -4 4
13 Giannina 5 1 1 3 -6 4
14 Levadeiakos 7 0 2 5 -9 2
15 Ionikos 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis OFI Crete
1–0 Léo Tilica
J. Bartolo
19′
2–0 M. Gardawski
J. Bartolo
44′
45′
🟨 Miguel Mellado
Half-time 2–0
C. Stanko 🔁
↦ Juan Domínguez
46′
46′
🔁 Jon Toral
↦ M. Mellado
46′
🔁 T. Bifouma
↦ F. Durmishaj
57′
🔁 I. Bouzoukis
↦ N. Dicko
Ervin Zukanović 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 P. Staikos
↦ A. Dioussé
Xesc Regis 🔁
↦ M. Gardawski
65′
73′
🔁 G. Þórarinsson
↦ K. Balogiannis
F. Bertoglio 🔁
↦ J. Bartolo
74′
José Luis Valiente 🔁
↦ M. Iglesias
75′
Adrián Riera 🔁
↦ F. Bertoglio
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
2 Rubén García D
19 Pepe Castaño D
87 E. Zukanović D
29 F. Álvarez D
28 Juan Domínguez M
17 M. Iglesias M
25 M. Gardawski M
7 Léo Tilica M
73 J. Bartolo M
9 J. Barrales F
Bench (9)
4 C. Stanko
11 Xesc Regis
20 F. Bertoglio
6 José Luis Valiente
23 Adrián Riera
64 G. Prountzos
99 A. Tsiftsis
18 Pichu Atienza
22 Asier Benito

Coach: I. Metaxas

OFI Crete

4-3-3
1 S. Stevens G
2 E. Larsson D
15 A. Diamantis D
14 P. Vouros D
38 K. Balogiannis D
23 Luis Perea M
29 M. Mellado M
5 A. Dioussé M
11 N. Dicko F
9 Miguel Guerrero F
17 F. Durmishaj F
Bench (9)
21 Jon Toral
77 T. Bifouma
10 I. Bouzoukis
26 P. Staikos
22 G. Þórarinsson
6 N. Marinakis
20 S. Yohou
4 T. Pasalidis
35 C. Mandas

Coach: N. Nioplias

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,88
U
3,33
B
4,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Papapetrou · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.