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LaLiga2
Referee: José López
Oviedo
S U U T U
1–3
Full-time
Cartagena
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
0,8
2,2
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
29%
57%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 22%
0%
43%
Both score Ø 36%
14%
57%
Average goals
0,9
2,6
Scored
0,4
1,4
Conceded
0,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

47% Possession 53%
6 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 14. · Cartagena 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 8 5 3 0 +6 18
2 Las Palmas 8 4 4 0 +9 16
3 Albacete 8 4 2 2 +2 14
4 Andorra 8 4 2 2 +1 14
5 Eibar 7 4 1 2 +4 13
6 Cartagena 7 4 1 2 +2 13
7 Sp Gijon 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Burgos 8 2 6 0 +2 12
9 Villarreal B 8 3 3 2 +1 12
10 Granada 7 4 0 3 +1 12
11 Huesca 7 3 1 3 +2 10
12 Levante 8 2 4 2 +2 10
13 Ponferradina 8 3 1 4 -3 10
14 Oviedo 7 2 3 2 +0 9
15 Tenerife 8 2 3 3 -1 9
16 Lugo 7 2 2 3 -2 8
17 Zaragoza 7 2 2 3 -2 8
18 Ibiza 7 2 1 4 -5 7
19 Mirandes 8 1 3 4 -5 6
20 Santander 8 1 2 5 -5 5
21 Malaga 8 1 2 5 -7 5
22 Leganes 8 1 1 6 -5 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,13
U
3,13
B ✓
3,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,31
U2,5
1,58
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José López · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.