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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Troyes
S S U T S
2–2
Full-time
Reims
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 26%
38%
13%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,8
3,4
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
19 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Troyes 10. · Reims 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 9 8 1 0 +23 25
2 Marseille 9 7 2 0 +14 23
3 Lorient 9 7 1 1 +6 22
4 Lens 8 5 3 0 +9 18
5 Rennes 9 4 3 2 +8 15
6 Monaco 8 4 2 2 +1 14
7 Lyon 8 4 1 3 +6 13
8 Lille 9 4 1 4 -1 13
9 Montpellier 8 4 0 4 +4 12
10 Troyes 8 3 1 4 -2 10
11 Clermont 8 3 1 4 -4 10
12 Toulouse 8 2 2 4 -4 8
13 Nice 9 2 2 5 -5 8
14 Angers 9 2 2 5 -12 8
15 Nantes 8 1 4 3 -3 7
16 Auxerre 8 2 1 5 -11 7
17 Reims 8 1 3 4 -7 6
18 Strasbourg 9 0 5 4 -5 5
19 Brest 8 1 2 5 -10 5
20 Ajaccio 8 1 1 6 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Reims
12′
F. Balogun 0–1
J. Ito
Yoann Salmier 🟨
19′
W. Odobert 🔁
↦ L. Agoumé
33′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 W. Odobert
51′
54′
J. Ito 1–2
A. Flips
56′
🟥 Junya Ito
Gauthier Gallon 🟨
57′
A. Bruus 🔁
↦ T. Baldé
64′
I. Ugbo 🔁
↦ Y. Salmier
64′
64′
🔁 M. Adeline
↦ F. Balogun
64′
🔁 N. Holm
↦ A. Flips
73′
🔁 I. Diakité
↦ M. van Bergen
79′
🔁 K. Doumbia
↦ A. Matusiwa
Andreas Bruus 🟨
83′
2–2 J. Porozo
90′
Jackson Porozo ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
92′
95′
🟨 Ibrahim Diakité
Erik Palmer-Brown 🟨
97′
97′
🟨 Emmanuel Agbadou
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Troyes

5-3-2
30 G. Gallon G
18 T. Baldé D
2 J. Porozo D
4 E. Palmer-Brown D
17 Y. Salmier D
39 Y. Larouci D
6 R. Kouamé M
10 F. Tardieu M
8 L. Agoumé M
20 R. Ripart F
7 Mama Baldé F
Bench (8)
29 W. Odobert
19 A. Bruus
9 I. Ugbo
24 X. Chavalerin
12 Abdu Conté
5 T. Dingomé
1 M. Lis
23 A. Rami

Coach: B. Irles

Reims

3-4-1-2
94 Y. Diouf G
6 A. Gravillon D
24 E. Agbadou D
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
19 M. van Bergen M
21 A. Matusiwa M
8 J. Cajuste M
28 B. Locko M
70 A. Flips F
39 J. Ito F
29 F. Balogun F
Bench (9)
18 M. Adeline
7 N. Holm
41 I. Diakité
3 K. Doumbia
43 C. Keita
11 N. Mbuku
48 S. Koeberlé
10 A. Zeneli
1 P. Pentz

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U ✓
3,38
B
2,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,92
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.