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La Liga
Referee: Carlos del Cerro
Sociedad
S U S T S
2–1
Full-time
Espanol
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

63% Possession 37%
14 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 12. · Espanol 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 6 5 1 0 +17 16
2 Real Madrid 5 5 0 0 +10 15
3 Ath Bilbao 6 4 1 1 +8 13
4 Betis 5 4 0 1 +5 12
5 Osasuna 6 4 0 2 +2 12
6 Villarreal 6 3 2 1 +8 11
7 Ath Madrid 5 3 1 1 +5 10
8 Valencia 6 3 0 3 +5 9
9 Mallorca 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Girona 5 2 1 2 +1 7
11 Vallecano 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Sociedad 5 2 1 2 -2 7
13 Celta 6 2 1 3 -5 7
14 Getafe 6 2 1 3 -6 7
15 Sevilla 6 1 2 3 -4 5
16 Almeria 6 1 1 4 -3 4
17 Espanol 5 1 1 3 -4 4
18 Valladolid 6 1 1 4 -8 4
19 Cadiz 6 1 0 5 -13 3
20 Elche 6 0 1 5 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Espanol
1–0 A. Sørloth
T. Kubo
17′
19′
Edu Expósito 1–1
Darder
2–1 Brais Méndez
Mikel Merino
29′
Half-time 2–1
54′
🔁 Javi Puado
↦ O. El Hilali
75′
🔁 Aleix Vidal
↦ Fernando Calero
75′
🔁 Dani Gómez
↦ Edu Expósito
Beñat Turrientes 🔁
↦ T. Kubo
81′
Brais Méndez 🟨
82′
M. Cho 🔁
↦ David Silva
82′
Aritz Elustondo 🟨
83′
85′
🔁 Pol Lozano
↦ Vinicius Souza
Alexander Sørloth 🟨
88′
Zubeldia 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-1-3-2
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Gorosabel D
6 Elustondo D
20 Jon Pacheco D
12 Aihen Muñoz D
3 Martín Zubimendi M
23 Brais Méndez M
21 David Silva M
8 Mikel Merino M
19 A. Sørloth F
14 T. Kubo F
Bench (12)
22 Beñat Turrientes
11 M. Cho
5 Zubeldia
17 Robert Navarro
33 Jon Karrikaburu
15 Diego Rico
4 Illarramendi
16 Guevara
32 Unai Marrero
13 Andoni Zubiaurre
2 Álex Sola
30 Urko González

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Espanol

5-3-2
25 Álvaro Fernández G
26 O. El Hilali D
5 Fernando Calero D
24 Sergi Gómez D
4 L. Cabrera D
14 Brian Oliván D
10 Darder M
12 Vinicius Souza M
20 Edu Expósito M
9 Joselu F
17 M. Braithwaite F
Bench (9)
7 Javi Puado
22 Aleix Vidal
19 Dani Gómez
6 Pol Lozano
31 Dani Villahermosa
28 Simo
1 Joan García
21 Nico Melamed
13 B. Lecomte

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
3,77
B
4,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.