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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Valencia
U U S S S
1–2
Full-time
Espanol
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 36%
39%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
61%
39%
Both score Ø 58%
72%
44%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 14
7 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 8. · Espanol 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 19 14 4 1 +25 46
2 Sevilla 18 11 5 2 +16 38
3 Betis 18 10 3 5 +11 33
4 Vallecano 18 9 3 6 +8 30
5 Ath Madrid 18 8 5 5 +7 29
6 Sociedad 18 8 5 5 +0 29
7 Barcelona 18 7 7 4 +7 28
8 Valencia 18 7 7 4 +4 28
9 Villarreal 18 6 7 5 +6 25
10 Ath Bilbao 19 5 9 5 +1 24
11 Espanol 18 6 5 7 -1 23
12 Granada 18 5 7 6 -3 22
13 Osasuna 18 5 7 6 -5 22
14 Celta 18 5 5 8 -2 20
15 Mallorca 18 4 8 6 -10 20
16 Getafe 18 3 6 9 -8 15
17 Elche 18 3 6 9 -9 15
18 Alaves 18 4 3 11 -14 15
19 Cadiz 18 2 8 8 -16 14
20 Levante 18 0 8 10 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Espanol
Thierry Correia 🟨
12′
Gonçalo Guedes 🟨
19′
30′
🟨 Nicolás Melamed
Half-time 1–0
1–0 O. Alderete
Hélder Costa
51′
61′
🔁 Javi Puado
↦ Adri Embarba
Daniel Wass 🟨
63′
C. Piccini 🔁
↦ Jesús Vázquez
67′
71′
🔁 L. Dimata
↦ Loren Morón
71′
🔁 Óscar Gil
↦ Nico Melamed
Rubén Iranzo 🟨
78′
Rubo Iranzo 🔁
↦ Thierry Correia
78′
Hugo Duro 🟨
79′
79′
🟨 Óscar Gil
81′
🔁 Jofre Carreras
↦ Aleix Vidal
81′
🔁 Manu Morlanes
↦ K. Bare
Hugo Duro 🟨
82′
Hugo Duro 🟥
82′
83′
Raúl de Tomás 1–1
D. Cheryshev 🔁
↦ Hélder Costa
84′
K. Koindredi 🔁
↦ D. Wass
84′
88′
Javi Puado 1–2
Jofre Carreras
93′
🟨 Adrià Pedrosa
Jasper Cillessen 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
13 J. Cillessen G
15 O. Alderete D
2 Thierry Correia D
6 Hugo Guillamón D
32 Jesús Vázquez D
18 D. Wass M
7 Gonçalo Guedes F
10 Carlos Soler M
11 Hélder Costa M
9 M. Gómez F
19 Hugo Duro M
Bench (12)
24 C. Piccini
39 Rubo Iranzo
17 D. Cheryshev
27 K. Koindredi
21 Manu Vallejo
26 Pedro Serna
28 G. Mamardashvili
4 Y. Musah
16 Álex Blanco
34 Joseda
36 A. Burlamaqui
1 Jaume Doménech

Coach: José Bordalás

Espanol

4-3-3
13 Diego López G
4 L. Cabrera D
24 Sergi Gómez D
3 Adrià Pedrosa D
22 Aleix Vidal D
10 Darder M
20 K. Bare M
21 Nico Melamed M
11 Raúl de Tomás F
23 Adri Embarba F
16 Loren Morón F
Bench (12)
9 Javi Puado
18 L. Dimata
12 Óscar Gil
29 Jofre Carreras
6 Manu Morlanes
2 Miguelón
1 Oier
7 Wu Lei
17 Dídac Vilá
14 Melendo
40 Dani Villahermosa
27 Aleix Gorjón

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,81
U
3,76
B ✓
4,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.