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Serie A

Referee: G Ayroldi

Sampdoria

T U T T T

0–3

Full-time

Monza

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Monza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

0,7

0,5

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-1,5

This season — Serie A · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 7%

14%

Points per game

0,3

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

0,6

Conceded

1,9

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

3 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 4

3 Offside 5

16 Free kicks against 24

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 20. · Monza 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	8	6	2	0	+12	20
2	Lazio	8	5	2	1	+12	17
3	Atalanta	7	5	2	0	+8	17
4	Milan	8	5	2	1	+7	17
5	Udinese	7	5	1	1	+8	16
6	Roma	8	5	1	2	+2	16
7	Inter	8	4	0	4	+1	12
8	Juventus	7	2	4	1	+4	10
9	Torino	8	3	1	4	-3	10
10	Fiorentina	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Sassuolo	7	2	3	2	-3	9
12	Spezia	8	2	2	4	-8	8
13	Salernitana	7	1	4	2	+2	7
14	Empoli	8	1	4	3	-3	7
15	Lecce	7	1	3	3	-2	6
16	Bologna	7	1	3	3	-3	6
17	Verona	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Monza	7	1	1	5	-10	4
19	Cremonese	7	0	2	5	-9	2
20	Sampdoria	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	5	4	0	1	+8	12
2	Napoli	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Udinese	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	Inter	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Milan	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Juventus	4	2	2	0	+5	8
7	Fiorentina	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Spezia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Roma	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Atalanta	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Bologna	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Salernitana	4	1	1	2	+2	4
13	Torino	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Verona	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Monza	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Lecce	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Empoli	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Cremonese	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Napoli	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Roma	5	3	1	1	-1	10
4	Milan	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Udinese	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Torino	5	2	0	3	-3	6
7	Lazio	3	1	2	0	+4	5
8	Empoli	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Sassuolo	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Lecce	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Salernitana	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Inter	4	1	0	3	-4	3
13	Juventus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Verona	4	0	2	2	-4	2
15	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Cremonese	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Monza	3	0	1	2	-7	1
19	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Spezia	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.