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Superligaen
Referee: Jacob A Sundberg
FC Copenhagen
S T T U T
1–0
Full-time
Aarhus
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
0,7
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
This season — Superligaen · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
40%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
80%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
70%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 5
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Copenhagen 9. · Aarhus 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Randers FC 10 6 4 0 +8 22
2 Nordsjaelland 10 6 2 2 +6 20
3 Viborg 11 6 2 3 +4 20
4 Silkeborg 11 6 1 4 +5 19
5 Aarhus 10 5 1 4 +4 16
6 Midtjylland 11 3 5 3 +1 14
7 Horsens 11 4 2 5 -2 14
8 Odense 11 4 2 5 -5 14
9 FC Copenhagen 10 4 0 6 +0 12
10 Brondby 11 3 3 5 -5 12
11 Aalborg 11 2 4 5 -5 10
12 Lyngby 11 0 4 7 -11 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Copenhagen Aarhus
20′
🟨 Thomas Kristensen
H. Haraldsson 🔁
↦ R. Falk
38′
41′
🟨 Yann Bisseck
Kevin Diks 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
E. Jelert 🔁
↦ K. Diks
46′
60′
🟨 Frederik Tingager
69′
🔁 S. Haugen
↦ Kevin Yakob
70′
🔁 F. Brandhof
↦ M. Emil Madsen
70′
🔁 A. D'Alberto
↦ T. Mølgaard
L. Lerager 🔁
↦ M. Stamenić
80′
80′
🔁 B. Hvidt
↦ M. Anderson
1–0 L. Lerager
H. Haraldsson
81′
87′
🔁 S. Grønning
↦ T. Thiesson Kristensen
N. Boilesen 🔁
↦ D. Vavro
89′
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 🔁
↦ M. Daramy
90′
95′
🟨 Sebastian Grønning
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-3-3
51 M. Ryan G
2 K. Diks D
3 D. Vavro D
5 D. Khocholava D
6 C. Sørensen D
35 M. Stamenić M
10 Z. Rodrigues M
33 R. Falk M
7 V. Claesson F
14 A. Cornelius F
15 M. Daramy F
Bench (9)
30 H. Haraldsson
19 E. Jelert
12 L. Lerager
20 N. Boilesen
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
40 R. Bardghji
1 K. Grabara
18 O. Óskarsson
34 V. Kristiansen

Coach: J. Neestrup

Aarhus

3-5-2
1 J. Hansen G
23 T. Thiesson Kristensen D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
14 T. Mølgaard M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
6 N. Poulsen M
8 M. Anderson M
19 E. Kahl M
17 Kevin Yakob F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
10 S. Haugen
29 F. Brandhof
26 A. D'Alberto
22 B. Hvidt
27 S. Grønning
18 J. Duin
11 G. Links
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit
37 S. Hausner

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jacob A Sundberg · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.