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Eliteserien
Referee: T Hagen
Sandefjord
T U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,3
4,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
3,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-2,3
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
26%
39%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 81%
91%
70%
Both score Ø 68%
65%
70%
Average goals
3,9
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 0
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 14. · Sarpsborg 08 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 24 19 3 2 +34 60
2 Bodo/Glimt 24 13 6 5 +29 45
3 Lillestrom 24 13 5 6 +13 44
4 Rosenborg 23 12 7 4 +18 43
5 Valerenga 24 13 3 8 +14 42
6 Viking 23 9 6 8 +3 33
7 Odd 23 10 3 10 -8 33
8 Stromsgodset 24 9 5 10 +0 32
9 Tromso 24 7 10 7 -6 31
10 Haugesund 23 8 5 10 -1 29
11 Sarpsborg 08 23 9 1 13 -3 28
12 Aalesund 23 6 7 10 -13 25
13 Ham-Kam 23 4 11 8 -4 23
14 Sandefjord 23 6 4 13 -19 22
15 Kristiansund 23 4 4 15 -21 16
16 Jerv 23 4 2 17 -36 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Sarpsborg 08
28′
🟨 Victor Torp
1–0 M. Ofkir
A. Tveter
43′
Half-time 1–0
Deyver Vega 🟨
52′
A. Winbo 🔁
↦ D. Vega
65′
67′
🔁 S. Tibbling
↦ S. Martinsson-Ngouali
67′
🔁 G. Molins
↦ V. Torp
71′
🟨 Simon Tibbling
71′
🔁 E. Wichne
↦ O. Halvorsen
77′
G. Engvall 1–1
J. Soltvedt
K. Boya 🔁
↦ A. Ordagić
79′
M. Haakenstad 🔁
↦ F. Pålerud
79′
S. Gussiås 🔁
↦ A. Tveter
84′
F. Nyenetue 🔁
↦ Rufo
84′
86′
🔁 S. Skålevik
↦ T. Heintz
Quint Jansen 🟨
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sandefjord

4-2-3-1
1 J. Storevik G
18 F. Pålerud D
4 I. Smeulers D
3 Q. Jansen D
13 L. Markmanrud D
19 A. Ordagić M
8 W. Kurtović M
7 M. Ofkir M
10 D. Vega M
14 A. Tveter F
28 Rufo M
Bench (9)
27 A. Winbo
23 K. Boya
2 M. Haakenstad
9 S. Gussiås
20 F. Nyenetue
12 H. Keto
15 J. Taaje
25 V. Egeli
22 Féderico Bikoro

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Sarpsborg 08

4-3-3
21 A. Kristiansen G
5 M. Ødegaard D
13 A. Hagelskjær D
7 O. Halvorsen D
18 S. Martinsson-Ngouali M
17 J. Soltvedt D
20 A. Salétros M
25 M. Maigaard F
41 T. Heintz F
29 V. Torp M
30 G. Engvall F
Bench (9)
11 S. Tibbling
8 G. Molins
32 E. Wichne
15 S. Skålevik
4 B. Utvik
16 J. Thomassen
6 M. Høyland
31 A. Skipper
40 L. Øy

Coach: S. Billborn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Hagen · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.