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Eredivisie

Referee: R Martens

Excelsior

T T T S T

0–1

Full-time

Utrecht

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

3,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

43%

29%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

71%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

2,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 8

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 10

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 10. · Utrecht 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	2	0	+11	20
2	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+17	19
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	0	2	+15	18
4	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+11	16
5	Twente	7	5	1	1	+11	16
6	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	1	3	+1	10
7	Waalwijk	7	2	3	2	+5	9
8	Heerenveen	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Utrecht	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Excelsior	7	3	0	4	-8	9
11	Nijmegen	7	1	5	1	+2	8
12	Groningen	8	2	2	4	-8	8
13	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	1	5	-5	7
14	For Sittard	8	2	1	5	-6	7
15	Cambuur	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Vitesse	8	1	2	5	-12	5
17	Volendam	8	1	2	5	-15	5
18	FC Emmen	7	1	1	5	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Twente	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+14	10
4	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+7	7
6	Waalwijk	4	2	1	1	+6	7
7	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	0	2	+3	6
8	For Sittard	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	-2	6
10	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	FC Emmen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	-1	3
15	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Volendam	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Nijmegen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Vitesse	4	0	2	2	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Feyenoord	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	PSV Eindhoven	4	2	0	2	+4	6
5	Nijmegen	4	1	3	0	+3	6
6	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Twente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Cambuur	4	1	1	2	-5	4
12	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-5	4
13	Vitesse	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Excelsior	4	1	0	3	-6	3
15	Waalwijk	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Volendam	5	0	2	3	-12	2
17	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	FC Emmen	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.