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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hélder Malheiro

Pacos Ferreira

T T T T U

1–1

Full-time

Arouca

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Arouca

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 15%

29%

Points per game

0,1

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,9

3,0

Scored

0,7

0,9

Conceded

2,1

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

6 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 17. · Arouca 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	Sp Braga	8	6	1	1	+15	19
3	Porto	8	6	1	1	+14	19
4	Portimonense	8	5	0	3	+1	15
5	Boavista	7	5	0	2	+0	15
6	Casa Pia	7	4	2	1	+4	14
7	Sp Lisbon	8	4	1	3	+5	13
8	Estoril	8	3	3	2	+3	12
9	Guimaraes	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Rio Ave	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Chaves	8	2	3	3	-2	9
12	Gil Vicente	8	2	3	3	-3	9
13	Vizela	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Arouca	7	2	2	3	-9	8
15	Santa Clara	8	1	2	5	-4	5
16	Famalicao	7	1	1	5	-7	4
17	Pacos Ferreira	7	0	1	6	-10	1
18	Maritimo	7	0	0	7	-18	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Sp Lisbon	4	3	0	1	+7	9
5	Portimonense	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Boavista	4	3	0	1	+0	9
7	Casa Pia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Guimaraes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Rio Ave	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Estoril	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Santa Clara	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Gil Vicente	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Vizela	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Arouca	4	1	1	2	-6	4
15	Chaves	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Famalicao	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Maritimo	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Sp Braga	4	3	0	1	+7	9
3	Estoril	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Casa Pia	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Porto	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Boavista	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Chaves	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Portimonense	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Guimaraes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Sp Lisbon	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Gil Vicente	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Vizela	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Arouca	3	1	1	1	-3	4
14	Rio Ave	4	0	3	1	-3	3
15	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Famalicao	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Santa Clara	4	0	0	4	-4	0
18	Maritimo	4	0	0	4	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.