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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra

Real Madrid

S S S S S

1–1

Full-time

Osasuna

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,0

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%

22 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 2

4 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Osasuna 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	1	0	+18	19
2	Real Madrid	6	6	0	0	+11	18
3	Ath Bilbao	7	5	1	1	+12	16
4	Betis	7	5	0	2	+5	15
5	Ath Madrid	7	4	1	2	+6	13
6	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+1	13
7	Villarreal	7	3	3	1	+8	12
8	Osasuna	6	4	0	2	+2	12
9	Valencia	7	3	1	3	+5	10
10	Celta	7	3	1	3	-4	10
11	Mallorca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Vallecano	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Girona	7	2	1	4	-2	7
14	Getafe	7	2	1	4	-7	7
15	Valladolid	7	2	1	4	-7	7
16	Espanol	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Sevilla	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Almeria	7	1	1	5	-7	4
19	Cadiz	7	1	1	5	-13	4
20	Elche	6	0	1	5	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Valencia	4	3	0	1	+7	9
4	Osasuna	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+7	7
6	Celta	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Girona	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+4	4
10	Mallorca	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Ath Madrid	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Almeria	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Valladolid	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Elche	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Espanol	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Sevilla	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Cadiz	4	0	1	3	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Sociedad	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	+4	8
6	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Espanol	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-4	4
12	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Betis	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Getafe	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Cadiz	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Celta	3	1	0	2	-5	3
17	Valencia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Girona	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Almeria	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Elche	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.