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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Schalke 04
U T U S T
2–3
Full-time
Augsburg
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
14%
43%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
71%
29%
Average goals
3,1
2,1
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Schalke 04 15. · Augsburg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 8 5 2 1 +9 17
2 Freiburg 8 5 2 1 +6 17
3 Bayern Munich 8 4 3 1 +17 15
4 Dortmund 8 5 0 3 +1 15
5 Hoffenheim 8 4 2 2 +5 14
6 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 2 2 +3 14
7 FC Koln 8 3 4 1 +4 13
8 Werder Bremen 8 3 3 2 +5 12
9 M'gladbach 8 3 3 2 +1 12
10 RB Leipzig 8 3 2 3 +1 11
11 Mainz 8 3 2 3 -4 11
12 Augsburg 7 3 0 4 -5 9
13 Wolfsburg 8 2 2 4 -6 8
14 Hertha 8 1 4 3 -2 7
15 Schalke 04 7 1 3 3 -6 6
16 Stuttgart 8 0 5 3 -4 5
17 Leverkusen 8 1 2 5 -7 5
18 Bochum 8 0 1 7 -18 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Augsburg
9′
E. Demirović 0–1
21′
E. Demirović 0–2
M. Berisha
30′
🟨 Maximilian Bauer
1–2 S. Terodde
D. Drexler
33′
Marius Bülter 🟨
34′
Simon Terodde 🟨
34′
34′
🟨 Mergim Berisha
Half-time 1–2
R. Zalazar 🔁
↦ M. Bülter
46′
L. Greiml 🔁
↦ S. van den Berg
53′
2–2 T. Krauß
D. Drexler
63′
M. Aydın 🔁
↦ H. Matriciani
67′
70′
🟨 Florian Niederlechner
70′
🟨 Mergim Berisha
70′
🟥 Mergim Berisha
72′
🔁 F. Jensen
↦ F. Niederlechner
73′
🟨 Ermedin Demirović
74′
🟨 Robert Gumny
77′
A. Hahn 2–3
R. Gumny
T. Mohr 🔁
↦ T. Ouwejan
81′
K. Karaman 🔁
↦ D. Drexler
81′
84′
🔁 M. Pedersen
↦ E. Demirović
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-2-2-2
13 A. Schwolow G
41 H. Matriciani D
5 S. van den Berg D
4 M. Yoshida D
2 T. Ouwejan D
6 T. Krauß M
17 F. Flick M
24 D. Drexler M
11 M. Bülter M
40 S. Polter F
9 S. Terodde F
Bench (9)
10 R. Zalazar
3 L. Greiml
23 M. Aydın
29 T. Mohr
19 K. Karaman
8 D. Latza
1 R. Fährmann
7 J. Larsson
30 A. Král

Coach: F. Kramer

Augsburg

4-2-2-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
2 R. Gumny D
23 M. Bauer D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
22 Iago D
8 C. Gruezo M
13 E. Rexhbeçaj M
28 A. Hahn M
9 E. Demirović M
7 F. Niederlechner F
11 M. Berisha F
Bench (9)
24 F. Jensen
3 M. Pedersen
16 R. Vargas
26 F. Winther
20 D. Caligiuri
21 L. Petkov
25 D. Klein
10 A. Maier
32 R. Framberger

Coach: E. Maaßen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,98
U
3,66
B ✓
3,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,04
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.