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LaLiga2

Referee: Mateo Busquets

Alaves

U U S S U

3–1

Full-time

Ponferradina

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Ponferradina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

57%

43%

Points per game

2,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

71%

Both score Ø 79%

86%

71%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,4

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%

16 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 2. · Ponferradina 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	8	4	4	0	+9	16
2	Alaves	7	4	3	0	+4	15
3	Andorra	8	4	2	2	+1	14
4	Eibar	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Cartagena	7	4	1	2	+2	13
6	Sp Gijon	8	3	3	2	+3	12
7	Burgos	8	2	6	0	+2	12
8	Villarreal B	8	3	3	2	+1	12
9	Granada	7	4	0	3	+1	12
10	Albacete	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Huesca	7	3	1	3	+2	10
12	Levante	8	2	4	2	+2	10
13	Ponferradina	7	3	1	3	-1	10
14	Oviedo	7	2	3	2	+0	9
15	Tenerife	8	2	3	3	-1	9
16	Lugo	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Zaragoza	7	2	2	3	-2	8
18	Ibiza	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Mirandes	8	1	3	4	-5	6
20	Santander	8	1	2	5	-5	5
21	Malaga	8	1	2	5	-7	5
22	Leganes	7	1	1	5	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Las Palmas	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Granada	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Andorra	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Huesca	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Villarreal B	4	2	2	0	+5	8
7	Tenerife	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Burgos	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Levante	4	2	1	1	+4	7
10	Sp Gijon	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Alaves	3	2	1	0	+2	7
12	Cartagena	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Mirandes	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Albacete	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Leganes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Zaragoza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Lugo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Oviedo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
19	Ibiza	3	1	1	1	-1	4
20	Ponferradina	4	1	1	2	-2	4
21	Santander	4	0	2	2	-3	2
22	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alaves	4	2	2	0	+2	8
2	Las Palmas	4	1	3	0	+4	6
3	Albacete	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Ponferradina	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Cartagena	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Sp Gijon	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Oviedo	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Andorra	5	1	2	2	-4	5
9	Burgos	4	0	4	0	+0	4
10	Lugo	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Malaga	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	Zaragoza	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Villarreal B	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Santander	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Levante	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Ibiza	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Granada	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Huesca	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Tenerife	4	0	1	3	-4	1
21	Leganes	4	0	0	4	-4	0
22	Mirandes	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.