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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Muñiz
Espanol
T T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Valencia
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 28%
28%
28%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 60%
56%
64%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
5 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 13. · Valencia 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 36 26 6 4 +49 84
2 Barcelona 36 21 9 6 +32 72
3 Ath Madrid 36 20 7 9 +21 67
4 Sevilla 36 17 15 4 +22 66
5 Betis 36 18 7 11 +20 61
6 Sociedad 36 16 11 9 +3 59
7 Villarreal 36 15 11 10 +25 56
8 Ath Bilbao 36 13 13 10 +6 52
9 Osasuna 36 12 11 13 -10 47
10 Valencia 36 10 14 12 -7 44
11 Celta 36 11 10 15 +1 43
12 Vallecano 36 11 9 16 -8 42
13 Espanol 36 10 10 16 -13 40
14 Elche 36 10 9 17 -13 39
15 Getafe 36 8 14 14 -6 38
16 Granada 36 8 13 15 -15 37
17 Cadiz 36 7 14 15 -17 35
18 Mallorca 36 8 9 19 -30 33
19 Alaves 36 8 7 21 -31 31
20 Levante 36 6 11 19 -29 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Valencia
Fran Mérida 🟨
3′
37′
M. Gómez 0–1
Thierry Correia
Raúl de Tomás 🟨
45′
Javi Puado ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
45′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Raúl de Tomás
Rubén Sánchez
47′
Nico Melamed 🔁
↦ Melendo
58′
66′
🔁 Y. Musah
↦ E. Cömert
Adri Embarba 🔁
↦ Javi Puado
68′
Dani Villahermosa 🔁
↦ Fran Mérida
68′
Sergi Darder 🟨
70′
74′
🔁 Bryan Gil
↦ Carlos Soler
74′
🔁 D. Cheryshev
↦ Marcos André
74′
🔁 Gonçalo Guedes
↦ U. Račić
Dídac Vilá 🔁
↦ T. Vilhena
87′
Jofre Carreras 🔁
↦ David López
87′
89′
🔁 Mario Dominguez
↦ M. Gómez
91′
🟨 Omar Alderete
Dídac Vila 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
13 Diego López G
4 L. Cabrera D
24 Sergi Gómez D
15 David López D
39 Rubén Sánchez D
8 Fran Mérida M
19 T. Vilhena M
10 Darder M
14 Melendo M
11 Raúl de Tomás F
9 Javi Puado F
Bench (12)
21 Nico Melamed
23 Adri Embarba
40 Dani Villahermosa
17 Dídac Vilá
29 Jofre Carreras
34 Joan García
2 Miguelón
7 Wu Lei
18 L. Dimata
1 Oier
5 Fernando Calero
16 Loren Morón

Coach: Luis Blanco

Valencia

5-3-2
13 J. Cillessen G
20 D. Foulquier D
14 José Gayà D
15 O. Alderete D
24 E. Cömert D
2 Thierry Correia D
10 Carlos Soler M
8 U. Račić M
23 Ilaix Moriba M
9 M. Gómez F
22 Marcos André F
Bench (12)
4 Y. Musah
21 Bryan Gil
17 D. Cheryshev
7 Gonçalo Guedes
46 Mario Dominguez
12 M. Diakhaby
18 K. Koindredi
1 Jaume Doménech
37 Cristhian Mosquera
32 Jesús Vázquez
44 Jesús Santiago
28 G. Mamardashvili

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
U ✓
3,34
B
2,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Muñiz · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.