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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
For Sittard
T T T U S
2–0
Full-time
Volendam
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Volendam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,3
3,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-2,2
This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 14%
14%
14%
Points per game
0,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
71%
71%
Both score Ø 71%
71%
71%
Average goals
3,7
4,1
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
2,4
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%
20 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 6
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match For Sittard 17. · Volendam 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Ajax 8 6 1 1 +17 19
3 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 0 2 +15 18
4 Feyenoord 7 5 1 1 +11 16
5 Twente 7 5 1 1 +11 16
6 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 1 3 +1 10
7 Waalwijk 7 2 3 2 +5 9
8 Heerenveen 6 2 3 1 +0 9
9 Utrecht 7 2 3 2 -1 9
10 Excelsior 7 3 0 4 -8 9
11 Nijmegen 7 1 5 1 +2 8
12 Groningen 8 2 2 4 -8 8
13 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 1 5 -5 7
14 Cambuur 8 2 1 5 -6 7
15 Vitesse 8 1 2 5 -12 5
16 Volendam 7 1 2 4 -13 5
17 For Sittard 7 1 1 5 -8 4
18 FC Emmen 7 1 1 5 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard Volendam
D. Erdoğan 🔁
↦ Deroy Duarte
12′
1–0 Úmaro Embaló
33′
38′
ℹ️ Brian Plat
VAR: Card upgrade
39′
🟥 Bilal Ould-Chikh
2–0 O. Özyakup
Ivo Pinto
44′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 H. Veerman
↦ D. van Mieghem
61′
🔁 W. Ould-Chikh
↦ B. Benamar
Arianit Ferati 🟨
68′
T. Taşçı 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
71′
R. Vita 🔁
↦ Úmaro Embaló
71′
71′
🔁 L. Zeefuik
↦ R. Mühren
C. Bassett 🔁
↦ A. Ferati
81′
V. Sourlis 🔁
↦ O. Özyakup
81′
Muhammet Tunahan Tasci ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-2-3-1
31 I. Pandur G
12 Ivo Pinto D
2 Ximo Navarro D
14 Rodrigo Guth D
5 G. Cox D
6 Deroy Duarte M
19 A. Ferati M
85 Úmaro Embaló M
15 O. Özyakup M
7 Iñigo Córdoba M
17 B. Yılmaz F
Bench (12)
21 D. Erdoğan
34 T. Taşçı
61 R. Vita
8 C. Bassett
90 V. Sourlis
77 T. Noslin
11 P. Gladon
18 M. van Beijnen
4 R. Janssen
1 Y. van Osch
20 B. Nieling
22 T. Hendriks

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Volendam

4-2-3-1
1 F. Stanković G
3 B. Plat D
31 X. Mbuyamba D
6 B. Benamar D
5 D. Murkin D
4 D. Mirani M
8 C. Eiting M
11 B. Ould-Chikh M
10 G. Oristanio M
7 D. van Mieghem M
21 R. Mühren F
Bench (9)
9 H. Veerman
33 W. Ould-Chikh
25 L. Zeefuik
20 K. van Oevelen
34 I. El Kadiri
22 B. Lauwers
24 A. Douiri
16 I. Nazih
2 O. Buur

Coach: W. Jonk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
U
4,09
B
3,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,47
U2,5 ✓
2,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.