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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: H Nervik
Fredrikstad
T S T T U
2–1
Full-time
Mjondalen
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Mjondalen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 34%
24%
44%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
64%
64%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredrikstad 12. · Mjondalen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 25 22 3 0 +68 69
2 Stabaek 25 13 8 4 +27 47
3 Start 24 12 6 6 +21 42
4 KFUM Oslo 24 12 6 6 +11 42
5 Ranheim 25 11 7 7 +1 40
6 Sandnes ULF 24 11 4 9 +0 37
7 Kongsvinger 22 10 6 6 +10 36
8 Sogndal 25 10 6 9 -3 36
9 Mjondalen 25 11 3 11 -9 36
10 Raufoss 25 9 7 9 -11 34
11 Asane 25 7 8 10 -16 29
12 Fredrikstad 25 6 8 11 -4 26
13 Bryne 25 6 8 11 -9 26
14 Skeid 25 5 4 16 -19 19
15 Stjørdals-Blink 25 3 5 17 -29 14
16 Grorud 25 1 7 17 -38 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad Mjondalen
1–0 H. Åsheim
16′
2–0 R. Alba
25′
31′
A. Hansen 2–1
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 E. Skistad
↦ A. Sporrong
L. Lima 🔁
↦ N. Solberg
58′
F. Stensland 🔁
↦ T. Drage
58′
O. Okeke 🔁
↦ L. Begby
63′
N. Williams 🔁
↦ R. Alba
64′
H. Jensen 🟨
74′
75′
🔁 B. Singh
↦ M. Olsen
80′
🔁 J. Solberg
↦ S. Øverby
83′
🟨 S. Skogen
84′
🔁 K. Lien
↦ L. Reuterswärd
O. Langbraten 🟨
86′
O. Øby 🔁
↦ J. Lindström
89′
A. Hansen 🟨
92′
93′
🟨 B. Singh
94′
🟨 A. Hansen
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 S. Molde
26 M. Nielsen
18 L. Begby
2 A. Hansen
3 B. Skaret
7 T. Drage
14 J. Lindström
20 H. Åsheim
10 N. Solberg
11 R. Alba
Bench (9)
29 L. Lima
33 F. Stensland
22 O. Okeke
24 N. Williams
19 O. Øby
15 I. Kingsley
17 T. Johansen
21 O. Jansson
25 O. Langbråten

Coach: J. Klæboe

Mjondalen

23 T. Kinn
5 S. Øverby
21 S. Skogen
4 A. Hansen
7 M. Ovenstad
11 M. Olsen
31 A. Sporrong
2 S. Eriksen
9 B. Stokke
8 O. Sveen
15 L. Reuterswärd
Bench (9)
10 E. Skistad
17 B. Singh
6 J. Solberg
20 K. Lien
3 D. Arrocha
13 E. Hejer
16 J. Dahlby
18 S. Appiah
35 A. Fotland

Coach: K. Nicol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.