OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Fredrikstad
Mjondalen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Brann
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 | +68 | 69 |
| 2 |
Stabaek
|
25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | +27 | 47 |
| 3 |
Start
|
24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | +21 | 42 |
| 4 |
KFUM Oslo
|
24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | +11 | 42 |
| 5 |
Ranheim
|
25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +1 | 40 |
| 6 |
Sandnes ULF
|
24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +0 | 37 |
| 7 |
Kongsvinger
|
22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 36 |
| 8 |
Sogndal
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 |
Mjondalen
|
25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | -9 | 36 |
| 10 |
Raufoss
|
25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | -11 | 34 |
| 11 |
Asane
|
25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -16 | 29 |
| 12 |
Fredrikstad
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 26 |
| 13 |
Bryne
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 |
Skeid
|
25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | -19 | 19 |
| 15 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | -29 | 14 |
| 16 |
Grorud
|
25 | 1 | 7 | 17 | -38 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
H. Jensen
M. Nielsen
B. Skaret
Coach: J. Klæboe
S. Øverby
Coach: K. Nicol
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Skeid
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Sandnes ULF
Raufoss
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Sogndal
KFUM Oslo
Fredrikstad
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.