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Taça de Portugal
Academica
U T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Tondela
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Academica Tondela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Serpa 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 São João Ver 2 2 0 0 +9 6
3 Beira-Mar 2 2 0 0 +9 6
4 Dumiense 2 2 0 0 +8 6
5 Pêro Pinheiro 2 2 0 0 +7 6
6 Fontinhas 2 2 0 0 +7 6
7 Vianense 2 2 0 0 +6 6
8 Montalegre 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 Valadares Gaia 2 2 0 0 +5 6
10 Sanjoanense 2 2 0 0 +5 6
11 Felgueiras 1932 2 2 0 0 +4 6
12 Olhanense 2 2 0 0 +4 6
13 Sertanense 2 2 0 0 +4 6
14 Canelas 2010 2 2 0 0 +4 6
15 Vilaverdense 2 2 0 0 +3 6
16 Bragança 2 2 0 0 +2 6
17 Tirsense 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 Varzim 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 Alverca 2 1 1 0 +2 4
20 Pombal 2 1 1 0 +2 4
21 Oriental Lisboa 2 1 1 0 +1 4
22 Paredes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
23 Oliveira Hospital 2 1 1 0 +1 4
24 Camacha 2 1 1 0 +1 4
25 Benfica Castelo Branco 2 1 0 1 +7 3
26 Leixoes 1 1 0 0 +5 3
27 Fafe 2 1 0 1 +4 3
28 Academico Viseu 1 1 0 0 +4 3
29 Vitoria Setubal 1 1 0 0 +4 3
30 Oliveirense 1 1 0 0 +4 3
31 Merelinense 2 1 0 1 +3 3
32 Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +3 3
33 Caldas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
34 Juventude Évora 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Courense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Moreirense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 CF Os Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Amora 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Trofense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Nacional 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Rabo Peixe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Ferreiras 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Penafiel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Vilafranquense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Real 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Anadia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Farense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Pevidem 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Mafra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Imortal Albufeira 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 UD da Serra 2 1 0 1 +0 3
52 Os Marialvas 2 1 0 1 +0 3
53 Gondomar 2 1 0 1 +0 3
54 Resende 2 1 0 1 +0 3
55 Sintrense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
56 Arronches e Benfica 2 1 0 1 +0 3
57 União de Leiria 2 1 0 1 +0 3
58 União Santarém 2 1 0 1 +0 3
59 Lajense 2 1 0 1 -1 3
60 Lagos 2 1 0 1 -1 3
61 Oriental Dragon 2 1 0 1 -1 3
62 Joane 2 1 0 1 -2 3
63 Praiense 2 1 0 1 -4 3
64 AR São Martinho 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Guarda Desportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 União de Tomar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Estrela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Machico 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Recreativa de Lamelas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Lusitânia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Freamunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 São Roque (Açores) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Monção 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Leça 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 1º Dezembro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Vila Meã 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Atlético CP 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 SC Paivense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Rebordosa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Alcains 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Madalena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Fazendense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Amarante 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Marinhense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Santa Eulália 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Alpendorada 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Feirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Águeda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Monte Trigo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Olímpico do Montijo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Vasco Gama VF do Campo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Silves 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Atlético Arcos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Vila Cortez 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Torreense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Vila Caíz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 UD Rio Maior 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Comércio Indústria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Régua 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Lusitano Évora 1911 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Mosteirense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Culatrense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 CD Olivais e Moscavide 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Coruchense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 GR Vigor Mocidade 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Angrense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Salgueiros 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Atlético Reguengos 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Mondinense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 Brito 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Moncarapachense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 Lusitano FCV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Castrense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Loures 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Castro Daire 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 SC Covilha 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Fabril Barreiro 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Pedrógão São Pedro 1 0 0 1 -4 0
121 Maria da Fonte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
122 Vinhais 1 0 0 1 -4 0
123 Vilar de Perdizes 1 0 0 1 -4 0
124 Ribeira Brava 1 0 0 1 -5 0
125 Rebordelo 1 0 0 1 -5 0
126 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1 0 0 1 -5 0
127 Moura 1 0 0 1 -5 0
128 AD Portomosense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
129 Mortágua 1 0 0 1 -6 0
130 Sporting Mêda 1 0 0 1 -6 0
131 Águias do Moradal 1 0 0 1 -8 0
132 1º Maio Funchal 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.