← Match Finder
Taça de Portugal
1–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Serpa 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 São João Ver 2 2 0 0 +9 6
3 Vianense 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Montalegre 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Sanjoanense 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Varzim 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Oliveira Hospital 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Camacha 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Benfica Castelo Branco 2 1 0 1 +7 3
10 Pêro Pinheiro 1 1 0 0 +6 3
11 Beira-Mar 1 1 0 0 +6 3
12 Fafe 1 1 0 0 +5 3
13 Leixoes 1 1 0 0 +5 3
14 UD da Serra 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Merelinense 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Valadares Gaia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Olhanense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Felgueiras 1932 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Dumiense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Juventude Évora 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Vilaverdense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Moreirense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 CF Os Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Alverca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Canelas 2010 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Fontinhas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Ferreiras 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Praiense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Penafiel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Bragança 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Resende 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Oriental Dragon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Sertanense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Oriental Lisboa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Sintrense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Tirsense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Paredes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Farense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Pevidem 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Mafra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Os Marialvas 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Gondomar 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Arronches e Benfica 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 União de Leiria 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 União Santarém 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Lajense 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Lagos 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Joane 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Pombal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 União de Tomar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Estrela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Recreativa de Lamelas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Lusitânia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Freamunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 São Roque (Açores) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Monção 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Leça 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 1º Dezembro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Vila Meã 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Rebordosa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Alcains 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Madalena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Fazendense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Amarante 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Marinhense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Santa Eulália 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Alpendorada 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Feirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Águeda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Atlético Arcos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Vila Cortez 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Torreense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 UD Rio Maior 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Comércio Indústria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Régua 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Lusitano Évora 1911 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Mosteirense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Culatrense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Salgueiros 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Atlético Reguengos 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 Mondinense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 Brito 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Moncarapachense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Lusitano FCV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Castrense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Pedrógão São Pedro 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Maria da Fonte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Vinhais 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Ribeira Brava 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 Rebordelo 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1 0 0 1 -5 0
95 AD Portomosense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
96 Mortágua 1 0 0 1 -6 0
97 Sporting Mêda 1 0 0 1 -6 0
98 Águias do Moradal 1 0 0 1 -8 0
99 1º Maio Funchal 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vila Caíz Amora
1–0
13′
Half-time 1–1
50′
1–1
56′
🟥
100′
1–2
111′
1–3
Full-time 1–3

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.