La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Valencia
Espanol
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | +38 | 54 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | +17 | 47 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | +13 | 37 |
| 5 |
Getafe
|
24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | +9 | 36 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 35 |
| 7 |
Sociedad
|
24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | +5 | 34 |
| 8 |
Betis
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 |
Valencia
|
23 | 6 | 13 | 4 | +4 | 31 |
| 10 |
Eibar
|
24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | -1 | 31 |
| 11 |
Levante
|
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 30 |
| 12 |
Leganes
|
24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 |
Espanol
|
23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | -10 | 28 |
| 14 |
Ath Bilbao
|
23 | 5 | 12 | 6 | -5 | 27 |
| 15 |
Girona
|
24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 |
Valladolid
|
24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -10 | 26 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 |
Vallecano
|
24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -14 | 23 |
| 19 |
Villarreal
|
23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | -8 | 20 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -16 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
José Gayá
D
D. Wass
M
F. Coquelin
M
Ferrán Torres
M
Coach: Marcelino
David López
D
Mario Hermoso
D
Sergi Darder
M
Marc Roca
M
Borja Iglesias
F
Coach: Rubí
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Valencia
Sociedad
Barcelona
Valencia
Valencia
Villarreal
Celta
Valencia
Valencia
Valladolid
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.