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Super League

Referee: U Schnyder

Basel

T T U T U

0–3

Full-time

Lausanne Ouchy

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Lausanne Ouchy

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 14%

14%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

86%

71%

Both score Ø 86%

100%

71%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

2,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,69 xG 1,47

52% Possession 48%

7 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 9. · Lausanne Ouchy 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	8	5	2	1	+8	+0.7	17
2	Zurich	8	4	4	0	+9	-0.3	16
3	Lugano	8	5	0	3	+4	+1.9	15
4	Luzern	8	4	3	1	+4	-0.4	15
5	St. Gallen	9	4	3	2	+2	+2.7	15
6	Yverdon	9	4	3	2	-1	-3.6	15
7	Winterthur	9	3	3	3	-1	-0.0	12
8	Servette	9	2	4	3	-3	-0.1	10
9	Basel	7	1	2	4	-2	-0.7	5
10	Grasshoppers	9	1	2	6	-6	-0.3	5
11	Lausanne	9	1	2	6	-7	+0.0	5
12	Lausanne Ouchy	7	1	2	4	-7	+0.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	4	4	0	0	+4	+0.7	12
2	Zurich	4	3	1	0	+6	-1.2	10
3	Yverdon	4	3	1	0	+5	+0.1	10
4	Luzern	4	3	1	0	+4	-1.0	10
5	Young Boys	3	3	0	0	+7	+1.1	9
6	Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	+2.4	9
7	Winterthur	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.7	8
8	Servette	5	1	3	1	+0	-1.2	6
9	Basel	4	1	2	1	+2	-0.1	5
10	Lausanne Ouchy	5	1	2	2	-5	+0.8	5
11	Grasshoppers	5	1	1	3	-2	-0.9	4
12	Lausanne	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.4	8
2	Zurich	4	1	3	0	+3	+0.9	6
3	Lugano	5	2	0	3	-3	-0.5	6
4	Luzern	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.6	5
5	Yverdon	5	1	2	2	-6	-3.7	5
6	Winterthur	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.8	4
7	Servette	4	1	1	2	-3	+1.1	4
8	St. Gallen	5	0	3	2	-2	+2.0	3
9	Lausanne	5	1	0	4	-3	+0.1	3
10	Grasshoppers	4	0	1	3	-4	+0.6	1
11	Lausanne Ouchy	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.6	0
12	Basel	3	0	0	3	-4	-0.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.