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Super League

Referee: S Schärer

Lugano

U T S S S

0–1

Full-time

Servette

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Servette

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 8/9 matches

Win Ø 43%

63%

22%

Points per game

1,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

88%

56%

Both score Ø 71%

63%

78%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,85 xG 0,88

65% Possession 35%

12 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 4. · Servette 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	10	6	4	0	+13	-1.0	22
2	St. Gallen	10	5	3	2	+6	+4.1	18
3	Young Boys	8	5	2	1	+8	+0.7	17
4	Lugano	8	5	0	3	+4	+1.9	15
5	Luzern	9	4	3	2	+1	-0.5	15
6	Yverdon	10	4	3	3	-4	-3.6	15
7	Winterthur	10	3	3	4	-2	+0.7	12
8	Servette	9	2	4	3	-3	-0.1	10
9	Grasshoppers	10	2	2	6	-3	-0.3	8
10	Lausanne Ouchy	9	2	2	5	-8	-0.5	8
11	Basel	8	1	2	5	-5	-1.5	5
12	Lausanne	9	1	2	6	-7	+0.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	5	5	0	0	+8	+2.1	15
2	Zurich	5	4	1	0	+7	-2.1	13
3	Yverdon	5	3	1	1	+2	+0.1	10
4	Luzern	5	3	1	1	+1	-1.1	10
5	Young Boys	3	3	0	0	+7	+1.1	9
6	Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	+2.4	9
7	Winterthur	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.7	8
8	Servette	5	1	3	1	+0	-1.2	6
9	Basel	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.9	5
10	Lausanne Ouchy	5	1	2	2	-5	+0.8	5
11	Grasshoppers	5	1	1	3	-2	-0.9	4
12	Lausanne	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	5	2	3	0	+6	+1.1	9
2	Young Boys	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.4	8
3	Lugano	5	2	0	3	-3	-0.5	6
4	Luzern	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.6	5
5	Yverdon	5	1	2	2	-6	-3.7	5
6	Grasshoppers	5	1	1	3	-1	+0.6	4
7	Servette	4	1	1	2	-3	+1.1	4
8	Winterthur	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.0	4
9	St. Gallen	5	0	3	2	-2	+2.0	3
10	Lausanne	5	1	0	4	-3	+0.1	3
11	Lausanne Ouchy	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.3	3
12	Basel	3	0	0	3	-4	-0.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.