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Super League
Referee: E Staubli
Servette
S U S S S
3–3
Full-time
Basel
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,8
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 34%
38%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
41%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
59%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
18 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 5
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Servette 2. · Basel 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 34 20 11 3 +53 71
2 Servette 34 13 15 6 +6 54
3 Lugano 34 13 12 9 +9 51
4 Luzern 34 12 11 11 +2 47
5 Basel 34 10 13 11 -1 43
6 Grasshoppers 34 12 7 15 -6 43
7 St. Gallen 34 10 11 13 +10 41
8 Zurich 34 9 14 11 -15 41
9 Winterthur 34 8 8 18 -31 32
10 Sion 34 7 10 17 -27 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -23 Basel – Servette 2–2 16. Oct -22 Servette – Basel 0–0 24. Jul -22 Basel – Servette 1–1 19. May -22 Servette – Basel 0–0 13. Mar -22 Basel – Servette 2–0

Match report

Servette Basel
Miroslav Stevanović 🟨
23′
1–0 C. Bedia ⚽
M. Stevanović
41′
43′
⚽ Z. Amdouni 1–1
A. Diouf
Half-time 1–1
Patrick Pflücke 🟨
46′
61′
🟨 Jean-Kévin Augustin
B. Fofana 🔁
↦ D. Kutesa
62′
H. Touati 🔁
↦ P. Pflücke
63′
69′
🔁 A. Zeqiri
↦ J. Augustin
69′
⚽ W. Burger 1–2
F. Frei
2–2 H. Touati ⚽
M. Stevanović
73′
E. Crivelli 🔁
↦ C. Bedia
79′
S. Diba 🔁
↦ T. Cognat
79′
3–2 M. Stevanović ⚽
G. Clichy
81′
Enzo Crivelli 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 Sergio López
↦ L. Millar
87′
🔁 B. Fink
↦ D. Males
88′
⚽ Z. Amdouni 3–3
Hussayn Touati 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Servette

4-2-3-1
32 J. Frick G
43 K. Mbabu D
33 N. Vouilloz D
19 Y. Severin D
34 A. Baron D
8 T. Cognat M
3 G. Clichy M
9 M. Stevanović M
17 D. Kutesa M
7 P. Pflücke M
29 C. Bedia F
Bench (9)
11 B. Fofana
45 H. Touati
27 E. Crivelli
30 S. Diba
40 E. Omeragic
24 M. Sawadogo
23 R. Rodelin
10 A. Antunes
21 B. Souare

Coach: A. Geiger

Basel

4-3-1-2
1 M. Hitz G
27 D. Ndoye D
5 M. Lang D
21 A. Pelmard D
7 L. Millar D
8 A. Diouf M
20 F. Frei M
23 W. Burger M
19 D. Males M
9 Z. Amdouni F
10 J. Augustin F
Bench (9)
17 A. Zeqiri
22 Sergio López
14 B. Fink
37 L. Avdullahu
31 E. Ismaili
30 A. Kade
28 H. Vogel
13 M. Salvi
90 Hugo Novoa

Coach: H. Vogel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Staubli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.