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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
St Mirren
S T S S T
0–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 38%
56%
20%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 36%
22%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 4. · Kilmarnock 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 +24 24
2 Rangers 9 7 1 1 +16 22
3 Hibernian 10 5 2 3 +4 17
4 St Mirren 9 5 0 4 -3 15
5 Livingston 10 5 0 5 -4 15
6 Hearts 9 4 2 3 +1 14
7 Aberdeen 9 4 1 4 +3 13
8 Motherwell 10 4 1 5 +1 13
9 ST Johnstone 11 3 1 7 -5 10
10 Kilmarnock 10 2 2 6 -11 8
11 Dundee United 10 2 2 6 -13 8
12 Ross County 10 2 2 6 -13 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. May -21 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 3–3 6. Feb -21 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 2–0 2. Jan -21 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 1–1 26. Sep -20 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–1 29. Dec -19 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 1–0

Match report

St Mirren Kilmarnock
Half-time 0–0
Marcus Fraser 🟨
52′
56′
🟨 Joe Wright
Charles Dunne 🟨
57′
62′
🔁 B. Lyons
↦ B. Alston
62′
🔁 B. Chrisene
↦ R. Alebiosu
A. Greive 🔁
↦ J. Ayunga
69′
A. Gogić 🔁
↦ E. Erhahon
69′
70′
🔁 C. Doidge
↦ K. Lafferty
Alexander Gogić 🟨
75′
78′
🔁 L. Mayo
↦ A. Taylor
78′
🔁 I. Cameron
↦ R. McKenzie
E. Brophy 🔁
↦ C. Main
79′
R. Tait 🔁
↦ S. Tanser
86′
G. Kiltie 🔁
↦ K. Baccus
86′
92′
🟨 Danny Armstrong
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

5-3-2
1 T. Carson G
23 R. Strain D
22 M. Fraser D
31 D. Gallagher D
18 C. Dunne D
3 S. Tanser D
17 K. Baccus M
16 E. Erhahon M
6 M. O'Hara M
10 C. Main F
7 J. Ayunga F
Bench (9)
21 A. Greive
13 A. Gogić
9 E. Brophy
2 R. Tait
11 G. Kiltie
12 J. Henderson
8 R. Flynn
27 P. Urminský
4 J. Shaughnessy

Coach: S. Robinson

Kilmarnock

3-4-2-1
1 Z. Hemming G
5 A. Taylor D
19 J. Wright D
6 C. Stokes D
25 R. Alebiosu M
8 B. Alston M
4 A. Power M
10 Jordan Jones M
11 D. Armstrong F
7 R. McKenzie F
28 K. Lafferty F
Bench (9)
17 B. Lyons
33 B. Chrisene
26 C. Doidge
2 L. Mayo
27 I. Cameron
32 S. Warnock
20 S. Walker
3 J. Dorsett
31 L. Polworth

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,05
🔒
U ✓
3,28
🔒
B
3,73
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,19
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,65
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.