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Championship

Referee: T Harrington

Luton

U S S U U

3–1

Full-time

QPR

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luton QPR

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,7

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

This season — Championship · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 43%

31%

54%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

31%

46%

Both score Ø 50%

46%

54%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

17 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 9

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luton 10. · QPR 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	13	7	3	3	+11	24
2	Norwich	13	7	3	3	+7	24
3	QPR	13	7	3	3	+6	24
4	Burnley	13	5	7	1	+8	22
5	Reading	13	7	1	5	-3	22
6	Swansea	13	6	3	4	+1	21
7	Blackburn	14	7	0	7	+0	21
8	Preston	14	4	7	3	+0	19
9	Wigan	13	5	4	4	-2	19
10	Luton	13	4	6	3	+3	18
11	Bristol City	14	5	3	6	+0	18
12	Cardiff	13	5	3	5	-1	18
13	Sunderland	13	4	5	4	+4	17
14	Watford	13	4	5	4	+1	17
15	Millwall	13	5	2	6	-2	17
16	Birmingham	13	4	4	5	+0	16
17	Stoke	13	4	4	5	-2	16
18	Rotherham	12	3	6	3	+1	15
19	Blackpool	13	4	3	6	-4	15
20	Hull	13	4	2	7	-13	14
21	Middlesbrough	12	3	4	5	-3	13
22	West Brom	13	1	8	4	-1	11
23	Huddersfield	12	3	2	7	-4	11
24	Coventry	9	0	4	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	7	5	1	1	+5	16
2	Blackburn	7	5	0	2	+6	15
3	Millwall	7	5	0	2	+5	15
4	Norwich	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Sheffield United	6	4	1	1	+9	13
6	Bristol City	7	4	1	2	+5	13
7	Rotherham	7	3	3	1	+7	12
8	Middlesbrough	7	3	3	1	+2	12
9	Hull	7	4	0	3	-3	12
10	QPR	6	3	2	1	+3	11
11	Cardiff	6	3	2	1	+2	11
12	Burnley	6	2	4	0	+3	10
13	Huddersfield	7	3	1	3	+2	10
14	Watford	6	3	1	2	+1	10
15	Swansea	7	3	1	3	-1	10
16	Birmingham	6	2	2	2	+2	8
17	Stoke	6	2	2	2	-1	8
18	Sunderland	6	1	4	1	+2	7
19	West Brom	7	1	4	2	+1	7
20	Luton	7	1	4	2	+0	7
21	Blackpool	6	2	1	3	+0	7
22	Preston	7	1	4	2	-2	7
23	Wigan	7	1	3	3	-6	6
24	Coventry	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wigan	6	4	1	1	+4	13
2	QPR	7	4	1	2	+3	13
3	Burnley	7	3	3	1	+5	12
4	Preston	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Luton	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Sheffield United	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Swansea	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Sunderland	7	3	1	3	+2	10
9	Norwich	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Stoke	7	2	2	3	-1	8
11	Birmingham	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Watford	7	1	4	2	+0	7
14	Cardiff	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	Blackburn	7	2	0	5	-6	6
16	Reading	6	2	0	4	-8	6
17	Bristol City	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	West Brom	6	0	4	2	-2	4
19	Coventry	7	0	4	3	-5	4
20	Rotherham	5	0	3	2	-6	3
21	Millwall	6	0	2	4	-7	2
22	Hull	6	0	2	4	-10	2
23	Middlesbrough	5	0	1	4	-5	1
24	Huddersfield	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.