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Championship

Referee: S Martin

Burnley

U S U U S

4–0

Full-time

Swansea

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley Swansea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — Championship · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 42%

38%

46%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

23%

54%

Both score Ø 62%

69%

54%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

52% Possession 48%

10 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Burnley 4. · Swansea 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	13	7	3	3	+11	24
2	Norwich	13	7	3	3	+7	24
3	QPR	14	7	3	4	+4	24
4	Burnley	13	5	7	1	+8	22
5	Reading	13	7	1	5	-3	22
6	Luton	14	5	6	3	+5	21
7	Swansea	13	6	3	4	+1	21
8	Blackburn	14	7	0	7	+0	21
9	Preston	14	4	7	3	+0	19
10	Wigan	13	5	4	4	-2	19
11	Rotherham	13	4	6	3	+2	18
12	Bristol City	14	5	3	6	+0	18
13	Cardiff	13	5	3	5	-1	18
14	Sunderland	13	4	5	4	+4	17
15	Watford	13	4	5	4	+1	17
16	Millwall	13	5	2	6	-2	17
17	Birmingham	13	4	4	5	+0	16
18	Stoke	13	4	4	5	-2	16
19	Blackpool	13	4	3	6	-4	15
20	Hull	13	4	2	7	-13	14
21	Middlesbrough	12	3	4	5	-3	13
22	West Brom	13	1	8	4	-1	11
23	Huddersfield	13	3	2	8	-5	11
24	Coventry	9	0	4	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	7	5	1	1	+5	16
2	Rotherham	8	4	3	1	+8	15
3	Blackburn	7	5	0	2	+6	15
4	Millwall	7	5	0	2	+5	15
5	Norwich	7	4	2	1	+6	14
6	Sheffield United	6	4	1	1	+9	13
7	Bristol City	7	4	1	2	+5	13
8	Middlesbrough	7	3	3	1	+2	12
9	Hull	7	4	0	3	-3	12
10	QPR	6	3	2	1	+3	11
11	Cardiff	6	3	2	1	+2	11
12	Burnley	6	2	4	0	+3	10
13	Luton	8	2	4	2	+2	10
14	Huddersfield	7	3	1	3	+2	10
15	Watford	6	3	1	2	+1	10
16	Swansea	7	3	1	3	-1	10
17	Birmingham	6	2	2	2	+2	8
18	Stoke	6	2	2	2	-1	8
19	Sunderland	6	1	4	1	+2	7
20	West Brom	7	1	4	2	+1	7
21	Blackpool	6	2	1	3	+0	7
22	Preston	7	1	4	2	-2	7
23	Wigan	7	1	3	3	-6	6
24	Coventry	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wigan	6	4	1	1	+4	13
2	QPR	8	4	1	3	+1	13
3	Burnley	7	3	3	1	+5	12
4	Preston	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Luton	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Sheffield United	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Swansea	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Sunderland	7	3	1	3	+2	10
9	Norwich	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Stoke	7	2	2	3	-1	8
11	Birmingham	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Watford	7	1	4	2	+0	7
14	Cardiff	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	Blackburn	7	2	0	5	-6	6
16	Reading	6	2	0	4	-8	6
17	Bristol City	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	West Brom	6	0	4	2	-2	4
19	Coventry	7	0	4	3	-5	4
20	Rotherham	5	0	3	2	-6	3
21	Millwall	6	0	2	4	-7	2
22	Hull	6	0	2	4	-10	2
23	Middlesbrough	5	0	1	4	-5	1
24	Huddersfield	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.