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Bundesliga

Referee: R Hartmann

Werder Bremen

S T U S S

0–2

Full-time

Mainz

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

56%

Both score Ø 73%

78%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,4

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%

14 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 4

3 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Werder Bremen 6. · Mainz 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Union Berlin	9	6	2	1	+10	20
2	Freiburg	9	5	3	1	+6	18
3	Hoffenheim	10	5	2	3	+7	17
4	Bayern Munich	9	4	4	1	+17	16
5	Dortmund	9	5	1	3	+1	16
6	Werder Bremen	9	4	3	2	+6	15
7	M'gladbach	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	Ein Frankfurt	9	4	2	3	+0	14
9	FC Koln	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Augsburg	9	4	1	4	-4	13
11	RB Leipzig	9	3	3	3	+1	12
12	Mainz	9	3	3	3	-4	12
13	Wolfsburg	9	2	3	4	-6	9
14	Hertha	9	1	5	3	-2	8
15	Leverkusen	9	2	2	5	-3	8
16	Schalke 04	10	1	3	6	-14	6
17	Stuttgart	9	0	5	4	-5	5
18	Bochum	9	1	1	7	-15	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	5	4	0	1	+8	12
2	RB Leipzig	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Union Berlin	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Hoffenheim	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Dortmund	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Bayern Munich	4	2	2	0	+6	8
7	FC Koln	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Ein Frankfurt	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Freiburg	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Werder Bremen	4	1	1	2	+2	4
12	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-1	4
13	Hertha	5	0	4	1	-1	4
14	Augsburg	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Schalke 04	5	1	1	3	-7	4
16	Bochum	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Mainz	4	0	3	1	-3	3
18	Stuttgart	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Freiburg	5	3	2	0	+6	11
2	Werder Bremen	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Union Berlin	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Augsburg	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Mainz	5	3	0	2	-1	9
6	Bayern Munich	5	2	2	1	+11	8
7	Hoffenheim	5	2	1	2	+3	7
8	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	FC Koln	5	1	3	1	-1	6
10	Dortmund	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Hertha	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Leverkusen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Wolfsburg	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	M'gladbach	4	0	3	1	-4	3
16	Schalke 04	5	0	2	3	-7	2
17	RB Leipzig	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Bochum	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.