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Serie B
Referee: M Volpi
Benevento
S T T U U
2–3
Full-time
Ternana
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Ternana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
25%
63%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
13%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
1,6
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%
15 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benevento 12. · Ternana 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggina 8 6 0 2 +14 18
2 Bari 8 5 3 0 +9 18
3 Frosinone 9 6 0 3 +8 18
4 Ternana 8 5 1 2 +4 16
5 Brescia 8 5 1 2 +0 16
6 Genoa 8 4 3 1 +4 15
7 Parma 8 3 4 1 +3 13
8 Cosenza 8 3 2 3 -1 11
9 Cagliari 8 3 2 3 -1 11
10 Sudtirol 8 3 2 3 -3 11
11 Modena 8 3 0 5 -1 9
12 Benevento 8 2 3 3 -1 9
13 Ascoli 8 2 3 3 -2 9
14 Spal 8 2 3 3 -3 9
15 Cittadella 8 2 3 3 -4 9
16 Venezia 9 2 2 5 -4 8
17 Palermo 8 2 1 5 -6 7
18 Pisa 8 1 3 4 -2 6
19 Como 8 1 3 4 -6 6
20 Perugia 8 1 1 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benevento Ternana
0–1 A. Iannarilli
own goal
19′
35′
🟨 Antony Iannarilli
Antonino La Gumina ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
36′
1–1 A. La Gumina
38′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Diakité
↦ L. Bogdan
Nermin Karić 🟨
57′
58′
F. Sørensen 1–2
59′
🔁 Raul Moro
↦ F. Paghera
Alberto Paleari 🟨
63′
D. Vokić 🔁
↦ C. Ciano
67′
E. Masciangelo 🔁
↦ G. Letizia
67′
I. Koutsoupias 🔁
↦ P. Schiattarella
67′
72′
🔁 S. Pettinari
↦ F. Cassata
Christian Pastina 🟨
73′
73′
S. Pettinari 1–3
A. Donnarumma
Diego Farias 🔁
↦ A. Tello
76′
F. Forte 🔁
↦ A. La Gumina
76′
81′
F. Di Tacchio 1–4
84′
🔁 L. Ghiringhelli
↦ A. Donnarumma
84′
🔁 M. Proietti
↦ A. Partipilo
94′
🟨 Luca Ghiringhelli
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Benevento

3-4-3
21 A. Paleari G
33 M. Leverbe D
96 R. Capellini D
58 C. Pastina D
16 R. Improta M
7 N. Karić M
27 P. Schiattarella M
3 G. Letizia M
28 C. Ciano F
20 A. La Gumina F
8 A. Tello F
Bench (11)
72 D. Vokić
5 E. Masciangelo
80 I. Koutsoupias
10 Diego Farias
88 F. Forte
12 N. Manfredini
18 D. Foulon
30 A. Basit
14 P. Thiam
37 A. Veltri
22 I. Lucatelli

Coach: F. Cannavaro

Ternana

4-3-2-1
1 A. Iannarilli G
13 V. Mantovani D
4 F. Sørensen D
26 L. Bogdan D
91 N. Corrado D
20 F. Paghera M
14 F. Di Tacchio M
29 F. Cassata M
21 A. Partipilo M
5 A. Palumbo M
9 A. Donnarumma F
Bench (12)
23 S. Diakité
18 Raul Moro
32 S. Pettinari
24 L. Ghiringhelli
8 M. Proietti
11 S. Spalluto
25 M. Defendi
30 A. Celli
10 C. Falletti
87 B. Martella
7 G. Capanni
12 T. Krapikas

Coach: C. Lucarelli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U
3,37
B ✓
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Volpi · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.