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Premiership

Referee: J Beaton

St Mirren

U T S S T

2–0

Full-time

Kilmarnock

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,2

This season — Premiership · 24/26 matches

Win Ø 30%

33%

27%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

38%

Both score Ø 42%

46%

38%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Mirren 7. · Kilmarnock 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	27	24	3	0	+60	75
2	Celtic	25	15	7	3	+35	52
3	Hibernian	27	13	7	7	+11	46
4	Aberdeen	26	12	8	6	+5	44
5	Livingston	27	11	6	10	+4	39
6	ST Johnstone	28	7	9	12	-10	30
7	St Mirren	24	8	5	11	-4	29
8	Dundee United	27	6	10	11	-17	28
9	Motherwell	25	6	7	12	-14	25
10	Kilmarnock	26	7	3	16	-11	24
11	Ross County	27	6	5	16	-30	23
12	Hamilton	25	5	4	16	-29	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	13	13	0	0	+38	39
2	Celtic	13	8	3	2	+17	27
3	Aberdeen	14	8	2	4	+5	26
4	Livingston	14	5	3	6	-1	18
5	Hibernian	13	4	5	4	-2	17
6	Dundee United	14	4	4	6	-5	16
7	Kilmarnock	13	4	2	7	-2	14
8	ST Johnstone	13	3	4	6	-6	13
9	Motherwell	13	3	3	7	-9	12
10	St Mirren	11	2	4	5	-6	10
11	Ross County	13	2	4	7	-14	10
12	Hamilton	13	2	3	8	-12	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	14	11	3	0	+22	36
2	Hibernian	14	9	2	3	+13	29
3	Celtic	12	7	4	1	+18	25
4	Livingston	13	6	3	4	+5	21
5	St Mirren	13	6	1	6	+2	19
6	Aberdeen	12	4	6	2	+0	18
7	ST Johnstone	15	4	5	6	-4	17
8	Motherwell	12	3	4	5	-5	13
9	Ross County	14	4	1	9	-16	13
10	Dundee United	13	2	6	5	-12	12
11	Kilmarnock	13	3	1	9	-9	10
12	Hamilton	12	3	1	8	-17	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.