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2. Bundesliga
Referee: A Sather
Karlsruhe
T U T S S
1–2
Full-time
Darmstadt
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
45%
64%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
64%
55%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
55%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
12 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 6. · Darmstadt 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 12 8 1 3 +7 25
2 Darmstadt 11 7 3 1 +9 24
3 Paderborn 11 7 1 3 +17 22
4 Heidenheim 11 5 5 1 +8 20
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 5 2 4 +6 17
6 Karlsruhe 11 5 2 4 +5 17
7 Hannover 11 5 2 4 +3 17
8 Kaiserslautern 11 3 7 1 +3 16
9 Holstein Kiel 11 4 4 3 -2 16
10 St Pauli 12 3 5 4 +1 14
11 Hansa Rostock 12 4 2 6 -7 14
12 Sandhausen 11 3 3 5 -2 12
13 Braunschweig 11 3 3 5 -8 12
14 Regensburg 11 3 3 5 -8 12
15 Greuther Furth 12 1 7 4 -5 10
16 Magdeburg 11 3 1 7 -10 10
17 Nurnberg 11 3 1 7 -10 10
18 Bielefeld 11 2 2 7 -7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe Darmstadt
-5′
🟨 Alexander Brunst
1–0 F. Schleusener
P. Heise
19′
Paul Nebel 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Seydel
↦ Y. Ben Balla
49′
P. Pfeiffer 1–1
T. Kempe
53′
🟨 Patric Pfeiffer
54′
🟨 Marcel Schuhen
M. Kaufmann 🔁
↦ M. Batmaz
73′
L. Jensen 🔁
↦ P. Nebel
73′
73′
🔁 F. Ronstadt
↦ B. Manu
S. Rapp 🔁
↦ F. Schleusener
80′
82′
🔁 M. Warming
↦ M. Bader
86′
🟨 Tobias Kempe
88′
P. Tietz 1–2
M. Mehlem
F. Ballas 🔁
↦ C. Kobald
89′
L. Bolay 🔁
↦ J. Gondorf
89′
90′
🔁 E. Karic
↦ T. Kempe
91′
🔁 T. Isherwood
↦ M. Warming
Leon Jensen 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

4-3-1-2
35 M. Gersbeck G
2 S. Jung D
15 S. Ambrosius D
22 C. Kobald D
16 P. Heise D
8 J. Gondorf M
38 T. Breithaupt M
10 M. Wanitzek M
26 P. Nebel M
9 M. Batmaz F
24 F. Schleusener F
Bench (9)
14 M. Kaufmann
6 L. Jensen
7 S. Rapp
4 F. Ballas
37 L. Bolay
36 K. Arase
21 M. Thiede
18 K. Jakob
1 K. Eisele

Coach: C. Eichner

Darmstadt

3-4-1-2
1 M. Schuhen G
5 P. Pfeiffer D
20 J. Müller D
4 C. Zimmermann D
26 M. Bader M
11 T. Kempe M
28 Y. Ben Balla M
32 F. Holland M
6 M. Mehlem F
9 P. Tietz F
7 B. Manu F
Bench (9)
22 A. Seydel
17 F. Ronstadt
14 M. Warming
3 T. Isherwood
19 E. Karic
41 P. Sonn
29 O. Vilhelmsson
38 C. Riedel
30 A. Brunst

Coach: T. Lieberknecht

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,70
U
3,55
B ✓
2,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Sather · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.