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2. Bundesliga

Referee: W Haslberger

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T S T S T

0–1

Full-time

Nurnberg

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 36%

45%

27%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

73%

55%

Both score Ø 50%

64%

36%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,9

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%

16 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 5. · Nurnberg 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	12	8	1	3	+7	25
2	Darmstadt	11	7	3	1	+9	24
3	Paderborn	11	7	1	3	+17	22
4	Heidenheim	11	5	5	1	+8	20
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	5	2	4	+6	17
6	Karlsruhe	11	5	2	4	+5	17
7	Hannover	11	5	2	4	+3	17
8	Kaiserslautern	11	3	7	1	+3	16
9	Holstein Kiel	11	4	4	3	-2	16
10	St Pauli	12	3	5	4	+1	14
11	Hansa Rostock	12	4	2	6	-7	14
12	Sandhausen	11	3	3	5	-2	12
13	Braunschweig	11	3	3	5	-8	12
14	Regensburg	11	3	3	5	-8	12
15	Greuther Furth	12	1	7	4	-5	10
16	Magdeburg	11	3	1	7	-10	10
17	Nurnberg	11	3	1	7	-10	10
18	Bielefeld	11	2	2	7	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	6	5	0	1	+15	15
2	Darmstadt	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	4	1	0	+10	13
4	St Pauli	6	3	3	0	+7	12
5	Heidenheim	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Karlsruhe	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Hamburg	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Braunschweig	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Sandhausen	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Kaiserslautern	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Hansa Rostock	6	3	0	3	+0	9
12	Regensburg	6	2	3	1	-2	9
13	Holstein Kiel	5	2	2	1	+3	8
14	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+1	8
15	Greuther Furth	7	1	5	1	-1	8
16	Bielefeld	5	2	0	3	-1	6
17	Nurnberg	5	2	0	3	-3	6
18	Magdeburg	5	2	0	3	-4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	6	5	0	1	+5	15
2	Darmstadt	5	3	1	1	+1	10
3	Heidenheim	6	2	3	1	+3	9
4	Hannover	6	3	0	3	+2	9
5	Holstein Kiel	6	2	2	2	-5	8
6	Paderborn	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Kaiserslautern	5	1	4	0	+2	7
8	Karlsruhe	6	2	1	3	+0	7
9	Hansa Rostock	6	1	2	3	-7	5
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	1	1	4	-4	4
11	Magdeburg	6	1	1	4	-6	4
12	Nurnberg	6	1	1	4	-7	4
13	Regensburg	5	1	0	4	-6	3
14	Sandhausen	5	0	2	3	-3	2
15	Greuther Furth	5	0	2	3	-4	2
16	St Pauli	6	0	2	4	-6	2
17	Bielefeld	6	0	2	4	-6	2
18	Braunschweig	5	0	2	3	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.