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Taça de Portugal
Referee: Iancu Vasilica
Imortal Albufeira
S
0–3
Full-time
Farense
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Imortal Albufeira Farense
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
This season — Taça de Portugal · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Imortal Albufeira 53. · Farense 51. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sanjoanense 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 São João Ver 2 2 0 0 +9 6
3 Beira-Mar 2 2 0 0 +9 6
4 FC Serpa 3 2 0 1 +8 6
5 Dumiense 2 2 0 0 +8 6
6 Pêro Pinheiro 2 2 0 0 +7 6
7 Vianense 2 2 0 0 +6 6
8 Montalegre 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 Valadares Gaia 2 2 0 0 +5 6
10 Fontinhas 3 2 0 1 +5 6
11 Moreirense 2 2 0 0 +5 6
12 Belenenses 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 Felgueiras 1932 2 2 0 0 +4 6
14 Nacional 2 2 0 0 +4 6
15 Sertanense 2 2 0 0 +4 6
16 Vilaverdense 2 2 0 0 +3 6
17 Mafra 2 2 0 0 +3 6
18 Olhanense 3 2 0 1 +2 6
19 Canelas 2010 3 2 0 1 +2 6
20 Bragança 2 2 0 0 +2 6
21 Tirsense 2 2 0 0 +2 6
22 Varzim 2 2 0 0 +2 6
23 Alverca 2 1 1 0 +2 4
24 Pombal 2 1 1 0 +2 4
25 Oriental Lisboa 2 1 1 0 +1 4
26 Paredes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
27 Oliveira Hospital 2 1 1 0 +1 4
28 Camacha 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Benfica Castelo Branco 2 1 0 1 +7 3
30 Leixoes 1 1 0 0 +5 3
31 Fafe 2 1 0 1 +4 3
32 Academico Viseu 1 1 0 0 +4 3
33 Vitoria Setubal 1 1 0 0 +4 3
34 Merelinense 2 1 0 1 +3 3
35 Caldas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
36 Gil Vicente 1 1 0 0 +3 3
37 Juventude Évora 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 Courense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Oliveirense 2 1 0 1 +2 3
40 Guimaraes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Arouca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
42 CF Os Belenenses 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Amora 2 1 0 1 +1 3
44 Rabo Peixe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Ferreiras 2 1 0 1 +1 3
46 Penafiel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Real 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Estoril 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Anadia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Trofense 2 1 0 1 +1 3
51 Farense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Pevidem 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Imortal Albufeira 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Famalicao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 UD da Serra 2 1 0 1 +0 3
56 Os Marialvas 2 1 0 1 +0 3
57 Gondomar 2 1 0 1 +0 3
58 Resende 2 1 0 1 +0 3
59 Sintrense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
60 Arronches e Benfica 2 1 0 1 +0 3
61 União de Leiria 2 1 0 1 +0 3
62 União Santarém 2 1 0 1 +0 3
63 Lajense 2 1 0 1 -1 3
64 Lagos 2 1 0 1 -1 3
65 Oriental Dragon 2 1 0 1 -1 3
66 Joane 2 1 0 1 -2 3
67 Vilafranquense 2 1 0 1 -2 3
68 Praiense 2 1 0 1 -4 3
69 AR São Martinho 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Guarda Desportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 União de Tomar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Estrela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Machico 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Academica 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 Tondela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
76 Recreativa de Lamelas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
77 Lusitânia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Freamunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 São Roque (Açores) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Monção 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Leça 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 1º Dezembro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Vila Meã 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Atlético CP 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 SC Paivense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Rebordosa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Alcains 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Madalena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Fazendense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Amarante 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Marinhense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Santa Eulália 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Alpendorada 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Feirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Águeda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Monte Trigo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Olímpico do Montijo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Vasco Gama VF do Campo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Silves 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Atlético Arcos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Vila Cortez 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Torreense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Vila Caíz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 UD Rio Maior 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Comércio Indústria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Régua 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Lusitano Évora 1911 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 Mosteirense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Culatrense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 CD Olivais e Moscavide 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Coruchense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
115 GR Vigor Mocidade 1 0 0 1 -2 0
116 Angrense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
117 Salgueiros 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Atlético Reguengos 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Mondinense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
120 Brito 1 0 0 1 -3 0
121 Moncarapachense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
122 Lusitano FCV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
123 Castrense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
124 Loures 1 0 0 1 -3 0
125 Castro Daire 1 0 0 1 -3 0
126 SC Covilha 1 0 0 1 -3 0
127 Fabril Barreiro 1 0 0 1 -4 0
128 Pedrógão São Pedro 1 0 0 1 -4 0
129 Maria da Fonte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
130 Vinhais 1 0 0 1 -4 0
131 Vilar de Perdizes 1 0 0 1 -4 0
132 Ribeira Brava 1 0 0 1 -5 0
133 Rebordelo 1 0 0 1 -5 0
134 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1 0 0 1 -5 0
135 Moura 1 0 0 1 -5 0
136 AD Portomosense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
137 Mortágua 1 0 0 1 -6 0
138 Sporting Mêda 1 0 0 1 -6 0
139 Águias do Moradal 1 0 0 1 -8 0
140 1º Maio Funchal 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Iancu Vasilica · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.