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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Girona
U S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Cadiz
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,7
This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
25%
13%
Points per game
0,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
75%
13%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,4
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
23 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Girona 15. · Cadiz 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 8 7 1 0 +19 22
2 Real Madrid 8 7 1 0 +12 22
3 Ath Bilbao 8 5 2 1 +12 17
4 Ath Madrid 8 5 1 2 +7 16
5 Betis 8 5 1 2 +5 16
6 Sociedad 8 5 1 2 +2 16
7 Valencia 8 4 1 3 +6 13
8 Osasuna 8 4 1 3 +1 13
9 Villarreal 8 3 3 2 +7 12
10 Vallecano 9 3 2 4 -2 11
11 Celta 8 3 1 4 -5 10
12 Mallorca 8 2 3 3 -2 9
13 Valladolid 8 2 2 4 -7 8
14 Getafe 9 2 2 5 -8 8
15 Girona 8 2 1 5 -3 7
16 Almeria 8 2 1 5 -5 7
17 Espanol 8 1 3 4 -5 6
18 Sevilla 8 1 3 4 -6 6
19 Cadiz 8 1 2 5 -13 5
20 Elche 8 0 2 6 -15 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U ✓
3,32
B
4,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,46
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.